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Cesar Almeida vs Ihor Potieria Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/1/2024

Cesar Almeida vs Ihor Potieria

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Cesar Almeida will face off with Ihor Potieria at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opening moneyline has Almeida at -395 while Potieria is at +310.

Cesar "Cesinha" Almeida holds a career mark of 5-1-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs. and measures in at 6' 1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Ihor "Duelist" Potieria comes in at 6' 3" and weighs in at 185 lbs.. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 20-6-0. The 28-year-old reaches 75". In the category of significant strikes, Cesar Almeida lands 4.25 per minute and Ihor Potieria is connecting on 5.13 significant strikes per min. Almeida lands 61% of the significant strikes he throws while Potieria connects on 50%. Regarding defense, "Cesinha" absorbs 1.88 significant strikes per minute while "Duelist" allows 5.04. Almeida also defends 46% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Potieria defends against 51% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Cesar Almeida ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 307 Cesar Almeida Ihor Potieria
Opening Odds -395 +310
Record 5-1-0 20-6-0
Average Fight Time 12:24 6:14
Height 6' 1" 6' 3"
Weight 185 lbs. 185 lbs.
Reach 74" 75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.25 5.13
Striking Accuracy 61% 50%

In terms of takedowns, Cesar Almeida is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Almeida is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his attempts and defending 56% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Potieria is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 57% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Almeida is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Potieria tries 0.5 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Cesar Almeida faced Roman Kopylov and walked away with a loss by way of split decision in round 3. Kopylov ended up landing 74 of 114 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Almeida ended the night having landed 114 of 162 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Kopylov ended up landing 41 of 71, which gave him a rate of 57%. He ended up landing 34 of 63 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Almeida landed 55% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 58 of 105. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 18 of 52 pointed at the head. 78% of the significant strikes connected on by Kopylov and 87% of them connected on by Almeida were tallied at a distance.

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In the last bout for Ihor Potieria, he went up against Michel Pereira and wound up losing the fight by way of a guillotine choke in round 1. Pereira ended up landing 33% of his significant strikes at distance and Potieria connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Potieria connected on 66% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 2 of 3. He connected on 0 of 0 significant strikes directed at the head. Pereira ended up connecting on 6 of 10 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 4 of 7 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Pereira was 6 of 10 and Potieria was 2 of 3 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ryan Spann goes up against Ovince Saint Preux. Spann steps into the Octagon with a record of 21-10-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 205 lbs. and measures in at 6' 5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Saint Preux measures 6' 3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs.. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 27-17-0. The 41-year-old has a reach of 80". In the grappling category, Ryan Spann gets a takedown 1.34 times per 3 rds and Ovince Saint Preux takes his opponents down 1.10 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Spann connects for an average of 3.25 strikes/minute and is connecting on 40% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Ovince Saint Preux, who is landing 47% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 3.03 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Tim Means is set to square up in the Octagon against Court McGee. McGee will be looking to add a win to his record of 22-13-0. The 39-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs. and measures 5' 11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Means stands 6' 2" and tips the scales at 170 lbs.. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 33-16-1 (1 NC). The 40-year-old has a wingspan of 75". In the category of takedowns, Court McGee defends against 69% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 25% of his tries. Means is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his tries and is able to defend against 65% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, McGee is absorbing 3.62 strikes per min and he deals 4.60 strikes per minute. Means, at the same time, takes 3.64 strikes/minute and deals 5.08 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cesar Almeida (-395)

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