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Casey O'Neill vs Luana Santos Pick, 8/17/2024 Predictions UFC 305 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/13/2024

Casey O'Neill vs Luana Santos

UFC 305

RAC Arena in Perth, Australia

Saturday, August 17, 2024

Casey O'Neill will face off against Luana Santos at UFC 305 on Saturday, August 17, 2024. The opening line has O'Neill coming in at +136 while Santos is coming in at -162.

Casey "King" O'Neill walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Luana Santos stands in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old extends her reach 67". Regarding significant strikes, Casey O'Neill is connecting on 8.41 per min and Luana Santos is landing 5.33 significant strikes per min. O'Neill is connecting on 54% of the significant strikes she tries while Santos is connecting on 55%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "King" allows 6.30 significant strikes per min and Santos allows 3.21. O'Neill also defends against 56% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Santos deflects 65% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Luana Santos ufc predictions best bet odds
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UFC 305 Casey O'Neill Luana Santos
Opening Odds +136 -162
Record 9-2-0 8-1-0
Average Fight Time 11:17 7:23
Height 5'6" 5'6"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 69" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 8.41 5.33
Striking Accuracy 54% 55%

Concerning grappling, Casey O'Neill is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.77 times per 15 min. O'Neill is scoring a takedown on 38% of her tries and is defending 66% of the takedowns her opponents try. Santos is getting her opponent to the mat on 60% of her takedown tries and thwarting 66% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, O'Neill is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Santos goes for 2.0 subs per 3 rds.

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In her last bout, Casey O'Neill went up against Ariane da Silva and was defeated by an armbar in round 2. Silva ended up landing 86 of 152 total strikes that she threw in that contest. O'Neill walked away from this fight having landed 32 of 75 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Silva ended up landing 64 of 127, which means her percentage was 50%. She landed 45 of 106 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, O'Neill landed 41% of her significant strikes by connecting on 31 of 74. Of those significant strikes, she was 17 of 57 to the head. 57% of the significant strikes connected on by Silva and 93% of them landed by O'Neill were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Luana Santos, she faced off with Mariya Agapova and ended up getting the victory in the fight by rear naked choke in round 1. Agapova landed 100% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Santos ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Santos landed 50% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 2 of 4. She landed 2 of 4 significant strikes to the head. Agapova connected on 3 of 14 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she ended up landing 1 of 5 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that contest, Agapova landed 20 of 31 while Santos ended up connecting on 9 of 12 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Dricus Du Plessis squares up against Israel Adesanya. Du Plessis comes into this bout holding a record of 21-2-0. The 30-year-old is weighing in at H and stands in at 6'1". The switch fighter has a reach of 76". Adesanya measures in at 6'4" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 24-3-0. The 35-year-old reaches 80". Concerning takedowns, Dricus Du Plessis takes his opponents down 3.00 times per 3 rds while Israel Adesanya is able to score a takedown 0.05 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Du Plessis lands 6.49 strikes/min and connects on 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Israel Adesanya, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has tried and lands 3.93 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Steve Erceg is set to battle Kai Kara-France. Kara-France steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Erceg measures in at 5'8" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 68". Regarding takedowns, Kai Kara-France prevents 88% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his tries. Erceg is finishing his takedown tries on 26% of his tries and is able to stop 60% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Kara-France absorbs 3.24 strikes/min and he is dishing out 4.57 strikes/minute. Erceg, on the other side, is absorbing 4.20 strikes per min and is dishing out 4.52 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Casey O'Neill (+136)

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