Carla Esparza vs Tecia Pennington Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/1/2024

Carla Esparza vs Tecia Pennington

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Carla Esparza will enter the Octagon against Tecia Pennington at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opening line has Esparza coming in at +150 while Pennington is coming in at -180.

Carla "Cookie Monster" Esparza will be looking to add a victory to her record of 20-7-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs. and comes in at 5' 1". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Tecia "Tiny Tornado" Pennington comes in at 5' 1" and tips the scales at 115 lbs.. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-7-0. The 35-year-old stretches 60". Regarding significant strikes, Carla Esparza is landing 2.16 per min while Tecia Pennington is landing 4.78 significant strikes per min. Esparza is landing 40% of the significant strikes she attempts while Pennington is landing 47%. Regarding defense, "Cookie Monster" takes 2.69 significant strikes per min while "Tiny Tornado" allows 3.59. Esparza also stops 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Pennington is able to thwart 61% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Carla Esparza ufc predictions best bet odds

W**AdsterraTest**W

UFC 307	Carla Esparza	Tecia Pennington
Opening Odds	+150	-180
Record	20-7-0	13-7-0
Average Fight Time	13:57	13:48
Height	5' 1"	5' 1"
Weight	115 lbs.	115 lbs.
Reach	63"	60"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.16	4.78
Striking Accuracy	40%	47%

When it comes to grappling, Carla Esparza is averaging more takedowns in the cage as she is able to score a takedown 3.22 times per 15 minutes. Esparza is finishing her takedown attempts on 35% of the times she tries and is stuffing 47% of the takedowns her opponents try. Pennington is getting her opponent to the mat on 14% of the takedowns she attempts and thwarting 65% of the attempts against her. In terms of submissions, Esparza is the more skilled technician by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Pennington goes for 0.1 submissions per 3 rds.

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In her last bout, Carla Esparza faced Zhang Weili and wound up losing the fight via a rear naked choke in round 2. Weili ended up landing 42 of 90 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Esparza ended the night having landed 19 of 50 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Weili ended up landing 37 of 78, which means her percentage was 47%. She landed 20 of 58 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Esparza landed 18% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 6 of 32. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 6 of 31 pointed at the head. 64% of the significant strikes connected on by Weili and 100% of them landed by Esparza were thrown at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Tecia Pennington, she squared up with Tabatha Ricci and took a loss on the night by way of split decision in round 3. Ricci connected on 88% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Pennington connected on 87% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Pennington ended up landing 36% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 80 of 219. She landed 64 of 194 significant strikes to the head. Ricci connected on 54 of 143 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 32 of 105 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Ricci was 94 of 186 and Pennington landed 92 of 231 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Alex Pereira enters the Octagon with Khalil Rountree Jr.. Pereira steps into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs. and stands 6' 4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Rountree Jr. measures 6' 1" and tips the scales at 205 lbs.. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 76". When it comes to wrestling, Alex Pereira scores a takedown 0.17 times per 3 rounds while Khalil Rountree Jr. gets a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Pereira connects for an average of 5.23 strikes per min and connecting on 63% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Khalil Rountree Jr., who is landing 39% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 3.84 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Mario Bautista is set to square up in the Octagon with Jose Aldo. Aldo will be looking to add a win to his career record of 32-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs. and stands in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Bautista measures in at 5' 9" and records a weight of 135 lbs.. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". When it comes to takedowns, Jose Aldo deflects 91% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is scoring a takedown on 53% of his tries. Bautista is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of his tries and stops 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Aldo absorbs 3.73 strikes/minute and he is landing 3.63 per min. Bautista, moreover, is taking 3.99 strikes/minute and is dealing 5.69 per min.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction? UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tecia Pennington (-180)

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Carla Esparza vs Tecia Pennington Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

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