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Calvin Kattar vs Aljamain Sterling Pick, 4/13/2024 Predictions UFC 300 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/9/2024

Calvin Kattar vs Aljamain Sterling

UFC 300

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 13, 2024

Calvin Kattar will face off against Aljamain Sterling at UFC 300 on Saturday, April 13, 2024. The odds have Kattar at +150 while Sterling is priced at -180.

Calvin Kattar comes into this bout holding a record of 23-7-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Aljamain "Funk Master" Sterling measures in at 5'7" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 23-4-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Calvin Kattar lands 5.12 per minute while Aljamain Sterling connects on 4.73 significant strikes per minute. Kattar is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he throws while Sterling connects on 52%. In terms of defending themselves, Kattar absorbs 7.10 significant strikes per min and "Funk Master" allows 2.41. Kattar also prevents 54% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Sterling is able to deflect 58% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Calvin Kattar ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 300 Calvin Kattar Aljamain Sterling
Opening Odds +150 -180
Record 23-7-0 23-4-0
Average Fight Time 14:44 13:12
Height 5'11" 5'7"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 72" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.12 4.73
Striking Accuracy 39% 52%

 

Regarding takedowns, Calvin Kattar is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.42 times per 3 rds. Kattar is scoring a takedown on 29% of the times he tries and thwarting 91% of all takedown attempts. Sterling is taking his opponents to the mat on 24% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 45% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Kattar is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.1 finishes per 3 rds while Sterling goes for 0.8 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Calvin Kattar went up against Arnold Allen and walked away in defeat by way of a knee injury in round 2. Allen landed 28 of 67 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Kattar ended the night having landed 14 of 58 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Allen ended up landing 28 of 67, which gave him a rate of 41%. He landed 21 of 55 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Kattar landed 24% of his significant strikes by sticking 14 of 58. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 5 of 47 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Allen and 100% of them connected on by Kattar were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Aljamain Sterling, he faced off with Sean O'Malley and walked away in defeat by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. O'Malley ended up landing 40% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Sterling connected on 94% of his significant strikes at distance. Sterling ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 17 of 35. He ended up landing 3 of 12 significant strikes directed at the head. O'Malley connected on 25 of 35 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 18 of 25 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, O'Malley ended up connecting on 26 of 36 while Sterling was 24 of 46 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Sodiq Yusuff squares up in the Octagon against Diego Lopes. Yusuff has a career record of 13-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Lopes stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 23-6-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 72". In terms of takedowns, Sodiq Yusuff scores a takedown 0.28 times per 3 rds while Diego Lopes is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Yusuff lands 5.72 strikes/minute and connecting on 49% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Diego Lopes, who is landing 53% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 2.47 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Renato Moicano is set to face off against Jalin Turner. Turner steps into the cage holding a record of 14-7-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 77". Moicano measures 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 18-5-1. The 34-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of takedowns, Jalin Turner deflects 75% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of his tries. Moicano is finishing his takedown tries on 47% of his attempts and deflects 72% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Turner is absorbing 4.63 strikes/min and he is connecting on 6.02 per min. Moicano, on the other side, is absorbing 3.80 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.41 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Aljamain Sterling (-180)

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