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Caio Machado vs Brendson Ribeiro Pick, 11/2/2024 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/1/2024

Caio Machado vs Brendson Ribeiro

UFC Edmonton

Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

Saturday, November 2, 2024

Caio Machado will face off with Brendson Ribeiro at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, November 2, 2024. The opening line has Machado coming in at -155 while Ribeiro is at +130.

Caio "Bigfoot" Machado walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-3-1. The 30-year-old will fight at 250 lbs and measures 6'4". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 78". Brendson "The Gorilla" Ribeiro comes in at 6'3" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-7-0 (1 NC). The 28-year-old reaches 81". Regarding significant strikes, Caio Machado lands 6.07 per min while Brendson Ribeiro lands 3.08 significant strikes per minute. Machado is connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he tries and Ribeiro lands 46%. When it comes to defending themselves, "Bigfoot" absorbs 2.73 significant strikes per min and "The Gorilla" allows 3.08. Machado also stops 63% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Ribeiro is able to defend against 49% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Brendson Ribeiro ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Edmonton Caio Machado Brendson Ribeiro
Opening Odds -155 +130
Record 8-3-1 15-7-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 15:00 6:49
Height 6'4" 6'3"
Weight 250 lbs 205 lbs
Reach 78" 81"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.07 3.08
Striking Accuracy 58% 46%

Concerning grappling, Caio Machado is the not as competent as a wrestler as he gets a takedown 0.30 times per 15 minutes. Machado is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and stuffing 82% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Ribeiro is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Machado is the lesser skilled fighter by trying 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Ribeiro tries 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Caio Machado faced Don'Tale Mayes and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Mayes landed 73 of 190 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Machado walked away from this fight having landed 77 of 160 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Mayes landed 67 of 183, which means his percentage was 36%. He finished the fight landing 42 of 140 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Machado landed 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 76 of 159. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 33 of 103 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Mayes and 98% of them landed by Machado were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Brendson Ribeiro, he battled Magomed Gadzhiyasulov and wound up taking the loss by way of majority decision in round 3. Gadzhiyasulov ended up landing 46% of his significant strikes at distance while Ribeiro connected on 76% of his significant strikes at distance. Ribeiro ended up landing 48% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 17 of 35. He ended up connecting on 6 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Gadzhiyasulov connected on 26 of 39 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 15 of 25 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Gadzhiyasulov ended up landing 93 of 135 and Ribeiro ended up landing 29 of 51 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Marc-Andre Barriault takes on Dustin Stoltzfus. Barriault walks into the Octagon holding a record of 16-8-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 74". Stoltzfus comes in at 6'0" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 15-6-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 75". When it comes to grappling, Marc-Andre Barriault scores a takedown 0.21 times per 3 rds and Dustin Stoltzfus gets a takedown 2.45 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Barriault lands an average of 6.12 strikes/min and landing 47% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Dustin Stoltzfus, who is connecting on 44% of the strikes he has attempted and lands an average of 3.51 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Trevin Giles is set to enter the Octagon against Mike Malott. Malott will be looking to add a win to his career total of 10-2-1. The 32-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Giles stands 6'0" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 16-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 74". When it comes to takedowns, Mike Malott prevents 16% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 60% of the times he tries. Giles is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries and deflects 71% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Malott takes 3.33 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 3.83 strikes/minute. Giles, at the same time, is absorbing 2.22 strikes/min and lands 3.27 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Caio Machado (-155)

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