Brian Ortega vs Diego Lopes Pick, 9/14/2024 Predictions UFC 306 Odds

Brian Ortega vs Diego Lopes

UFC 306

The Sphere in Las Vegas

Saturday, September 14, 2024

Brian Ortega will enter the Octagon against Diego Lopes at UFC 306 on Saturday, September 14, 2024. The opening odds have Ortega at +145 while Lopes is priced at -175.

Brian "T-City" Ortega holds a record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 69". Diego Lopes measures 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 25-6-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". In the category of significant strikes, Brian Ortega is connecting on 4.07 per minute while Diego Lopes is connecting on 3.24 significant strikes per minute. Ortega lands 38% of the significant strikes he throws while Lopes connects on 55%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "T-City" absorbs 6.54 significant strikes per min and Lopes allows 4.08. Ortega also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Lopes is able to curb 39% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In the category of takedowns, Brian Ortega is the more effective grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.17 times per 15 min. Ortega is getting his opponent to the mat on 27% of his tries and stuffing 57% of all takedown tries against him. Lopes is taking his opponents down on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 46% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to sub attempts, Ortega is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 1.2 submissions per 3 rounds while Lopes attempts 3.7 submissions per 15 min.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Brian Ortega faced Yair Rodriguez and ended up getting the win by an arm triangle in round 3. Rodriguez landed 64 of 135 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Ortega finished this fight landing 47 of 104 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rodriguez ended up landing 55 of 115, which gave him a percentage of 47%. He landed 36 of 91 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Ortega landed 38% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 28 of 73. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 26 of 69 aimed at the head. 61% of the significant strikes landed by Rodriguez and 46% of them connected on by Ortega were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Diego Lopes, he squared up with Dan Ige and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Ige ended up connecting on 57% of his significant strikes at distance and Lopes ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Lopes ended up connecting on 49% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 49 of 100. He connected on 32 of 74 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ige landed 42 of 77 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 34 of 67 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Ige was 67 of 103 while Lopes connected on 90 of 143 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Daniel Zellhuber squares up with Esteban Ribovics. Zellhuber walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 15-1-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 77". Ribovics measures 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 13-1-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 69". Regarding grappling, Daniel Zellhuber takes his opponents to the canvas 0.22 times per 3 rds while Esteban Ribovics takes his opponents to the mat 0.93 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Zellhuber lands an average of 5.86 strikes/min and connecting on 41% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Esteban Ribovics, who lands 52% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 6.20 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ode Osbourne is set to square up in the Octagon against Ronaldo Rodriguez. Rodriguez steps into the Octagon with a mark of 16-2-0. The 25-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 65". Osbourne measures 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 12-7-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding wrestling, Ronaldo Rodriguez is thwarting 63% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his attempts. Osbourne is taking his opponents to the mat on 27% of his tries and stops 64% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Rodriguez takes 3.56 strikes/min and he deals 2.00 per minute. Osbourne, moreover, absorbs 4.44 strikes per min and connects on 3.46 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Diego Lopes (-175)

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