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Brad Tavares vs Gregory Rodrigues Pick, 2/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 86 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/5/2024

Brad Tavares vs Gregory Rodrigues

UFC Vegas 86

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, February 10, 2024

Brad Tavares will take on Gregory Rodrigues at UFC Vegas 86 on Saturday, February 10, 2024. The opener has Tavares priced at +200 while Rodrigues is at -245.

Brad Tavares looks to add a win to his career total of 20-9-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 74". Gregory "Robocop" Rodrigues stands 6'3" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old stretches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Brad Tavares is connecting on 3.38 per minute while Gregory Rodrigues connects on 5.99 significant strikes per minute. Tavares is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he tries and Rodrigues lands 55%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Tavares takes 3.03 significant strikes per minute while "Robocop" takes 5.67. Tavares also curbs 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Rodrigues is able to curb 51% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Brad Tavares Brad Tavares ufcpredictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 86 Brad Tavares Gregory Rodrigues
Opening Odds +200 -245
Record 20-9-0 14-5-0
Average Fight Time 12:54 7:02
Height 6'1" 6'3"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 74" 75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.38 5.99
Striking Accuracy 43% 55%

 

Concerning grappling, Brad Tavares is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.81 times per 3 rounds. Tavares is scoring a takedown on 26% of his attempts and is stopping 82% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Rodrigues is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of his takedown tries and is defending 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Tavares is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.8 subs per 15 minutes while Rodrigues tries 0.5 subs per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Brad Tavares squared up with Chris Weidman and wound up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Weidman landed 39 of 94 total strikes attempted in that contest. Tavares ended the night having landed 71 of 116 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Weidman ended up landing 37 of 92, which gave him a percentage of 40%. He ended up landing 30 of 77 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Tavares landed 60% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 70 of 115. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 21 of 61 pointed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Weidman and 97% of them landed by Tavares were thrown at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Gregory Rodrigues, he faced off with Denis Tiuliulin and took home the win by an elbow to the head in round 1. Tiuliulin ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Rodrigues ended up landing 20% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Rodrigues ended up connecting on 83% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 5 of 6. He ended up connecting on 4 of 5 significant strikes directed at the head. Tiuliulin ended up connecting on 2 of 7 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 2 of 7 directed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Tiuliulin connected on 3 of 8 while Rodrigues landed 6 of 8 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Michael Johnson takes on Darrius Flowers. Johnson looks to add a win to his career record of 22-19-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Flowers stands 5'9" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-6-1. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of takedowns, Michael Johnson is able to score a takedown 0.46 times per 15 min while Darrius Flowers takes his opponents to the canvas 1.70 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Johnson connects for an average of 4.28 strikes per min and connects on 39% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Darrius Flowers, who tags his opponent on 56% of his attempted strikes and connects on 4.19 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Armen Petrosyan is set to go up against Rodolfo Vieira. Vieira steps into the cage holding a mark of 9-2-0. The 34-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Petrosyan comes in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 9-2-0. The 33-year-old reaches 71". Regarding wrestling, Rodolfo Vieira thwarts 85% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 26% of the times he tries. Petrosyan is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of the tries he takes and curbs 36% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Vieira is taking 4.84 strikes/minute while he is landing 3.36 strikes per min. Petrosyan, notwithstanding, is absorbing 3.03 strikes/minute and is dealing 5.97 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Brad Tavares (+200)

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