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Bobby Green vs Paddy Pimblett Pick, 7/27/2024 Predictions UFC 304 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/23/2024

Bobby Green vs Paddy Pimblett

UFC 304

Co-op Live in Manchester, England

Saturday, July 27, 2024

Bobby Green will battle Paddy Pimblett at UFC 304 on Saturday, July 27, 2024. The opener has Green priced at -118 while Pimblett is coming in at -102.

Bobby "King" Green will be looking to add a win to his career total of 32-15-1 (1 NC). The 37-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett stands 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 21-3-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 73". In the category of significant strikes, Bobby Green is landing 6.45 per min while Paddy Pimblett lands 5.13 significant strikes per min. Green connects on 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Pimblett lands 52%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "King" takes 3.75 significant strikes per minute and "The Baddy" takes 3.70. Green also thwarts 62% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Pimblett defends against 41% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Bobby Green ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 304 Bobby Green Paddy Pimblett
Opening Odds -118 -102
Record 32-15-1 (1 NC) 21-3-0
Average Fight Time 11:23 9:12
Height 5'10" 5'10"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.45 5.13
Striking Accuracy 52% 52%

Concerning grappling, Bobby Green is the more productive wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.19 times per 15 min. Green is scoring a takedown on 38% of the times he tries and stuffing 74% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Pimblett is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 56% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing opponents, Green is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rds while Pimblett attempts 1.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Bobby Green fought Jim Miller and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Miller ended up landing 58 of 145 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Green walked away from this fight having landed 187 of 320 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Miller ended up landing 57 of 144, which gave him a rate of 39%. He ended up landing 29 of 103 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Green ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by connecting on 186 of 319. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 136 of 245 pointed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Miller and 89% of them connected on by Green were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Paddy Pimblett, he battled Tony Ferguson and ended up getting the victory in the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Ferguson ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Pimblett ended up connecting on 62% of his significant strikes at distance. Pimblett landed 64% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 106 of 165. He connected on 73 of 127 significant strikes directed at the head. Ferguson ended up connecting on 62 of 105 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 35 of 66 to the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Ferguson landed 90 of 134 and Pimblett was 151 of 217 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Muhammad Mokaev meets Manel Kape. Mokaev steps into the cage holding a record of 12-0-0 (1 NC). The 23-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Kape stands in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 19-6-0. The 30-year-old reaches 68". Regarding grappling, Muhammad Mokaev takes his opponents to the mat 5.75 times per 3 rounds and Manel Kape is able to score a takedown 0.65 times per 15 min. In the striking category, Mokaev is landing 1.53 strikes/minute and connects on 48% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Manel Kape, who lands 54% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 5.12 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Giga Chikadze is set to enter the Octagon with Arnold Allen. Allen has a record of 19-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter stretches 70". Chikadze stands in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 15-3-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Concerning grappling, Arnold Allen is able to curb 75% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his attempts. Chikadze is taking his opponents down on 33% of the attempts he tries and deflects 69% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Allen is taking 2.91 strikes per min and he deals 3.39 strikes per minute. Chikadze, on the other hand, takes 3.44 strikes/min and deals 4.08 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Bobby Green (-118)

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