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Bassil Hafez vs Oban Elliott Pick, 11/16/2024 Predictions UFC 309 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/12/2024

Bassil Hafez vs Oban Elliott

UFC 309

Madison Square Garden in NYC

Saturday, November 16, 2024

Bassil Hafez will battle Oban Elliott at UFC 309 on Saturday, November 16, 2024. The opening line has Hafez coming in at +200 while Elliott is coming in at -245.

Bassil "The Habibi" Hafez walks into the cage holding a record of 9-3-1. The 32-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Oban "The Welsh Gangster" Elliott comes in at 6'0" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-2-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 72". In the category of significant strikes, Bassil Hafez is landing 4.23 per min while Oban Elliott connects on 3.82 significant strikes per min. Hafez is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he tries and Elliott is connecting on 47%. Regarding defense, "The Habibi" allows 5.53 significant strikes per minute while "The Welsh Gangster" allows 2.24. Hafez also defends against 40% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Elliott is able to stop 61% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Bassil Hafez ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 309 Bassil Hafez Oban Elliott
Opening Odds +200 -245
Record 9-3-1 11-2-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 15:00
Height 5'11" 6'0"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 72" 72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.23 3.82
Striking Accuracy 39% 47%

Concerning takedowns, Bassil Hafez is the better grappler as he takes his opponents down 3.00 times per 15 minutes. Hafez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 24% of his attempts and defending 50% of all takedown attempts. Elliott is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 72% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Hafez is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.4 submissions per 15 min while Elliott tries 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Bassil Hafez fought Mickey Gall and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Gall landed 93 of 153 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Hafez ended the night having landed 101 of 210 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Gall landed 83 of 143, which means his percentage was 58%. He finished the fight landing 70 of 126 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Hafez landed 47% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 95 of 201. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 83 of 187 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Gall and 95% of them landed by Hafez were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Oban Elliott, he went up against Preston Parsons and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Parsons connected on 86% of his significant strikes at distance and Elliott ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Elliott landed 35% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 44 of 125. He ended up landing 36 of 116 significant strikes directed at the head. Parsons ended up landing 36 of 93 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 15 of 66 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Parsons connected on 71 of 133 while Elliott was 49 of 142 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Viviane Araujo enters the Octagon with Karine Silva. Araujo steps into the cage with a mark of 12-6-0. The 37-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands 5'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Silva measures in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 18-4-0. The 30-year-old stretches 67". Regarding grappling, Viviane Araujo takes her opponents to the mat 1.76 times per 15 minutes and Karine Silva takes her opponents to the canvas 3.59 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Araujo tags his opponents 4.11 strikes/min and connecting on 47% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Karine Silva, who is landing 35% of the strikes she has attempted and lands 2.67 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Eduarda Moura is set to square up against Veronica Hardy. Hardy will be looking to add a victory to her total of 9-4-1. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter extends her reach 64". Moura stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 66". Concerning grappling, Veronica Hardy is able to stop 60% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 41% of the times she tries. Moura is taking her opponents to the mat on 30% of her tries and thwarts 85% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Hardy takes 3.75 strikes per minute and she is landing 3.13 strikes per minute. Moura, in contrast, is taking 2.10 strikes/min and dishes out 3.09 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oban Elliott (-245)

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