Austen Lane vs Jhonata Diniz Pick, 4/27/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 91 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/23/2024

Austen Lane vs Jhonata Diniz

UFC Vegas 91

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, April 27, 2024

Austen Lane will enter the Octagon against Jhonata Diniz at UFC Vegas 91 on Saturday, April 27, 2024. The line has Lane priced at +200 while Diniz is coming in at -245.

Austen Lane holds a career record of 12-4-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old is fighting at 245 lbs and stands 6'6". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 80". Jhonata Diniz measures 6'4" and steps on the scale at 254 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 6-0-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 79". In terms of significant strikes, Austen Lane lands 4.48 per min and Jhonata Diniz is connecting on 7.69 significant strikes per min. Lane is connecting on 47% of the significant strikes he attempts and Diniz is connecting on 42%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Lane absorbs 2.85 significant strikes per min and Diniz allows 7.38. Lane also deflects 48% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Diniz is able to deflect 36% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Austen Lane ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 91	Austen Lane	Jhonata Diniz
Opening Odds	+200	-245
Record	12-4-0 (1 NC)	6-0-0
Average Fight Time	1:51	3:15
Height	6'6"	6'4"
Weight	245 lbs	254 lbs
Reach	80"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.48	7.69
Striking Accuracy	0.47	0.42

In terms of grappling, Austen Lane is the more effective grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Lane is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries and stuffing 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Diniz is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to going for the submission, Lane is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Diniz looks to get 0.8 finishes per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Austen Lane went up against Justin Tafa and ended up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Tafa landed 11 of 14 total strikes that he let go. Lane walked away from this fight having landed 7 of 15 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Tafa ended up landing 11 of 14, which means his percentage was 78%. He finished the fight landing 9 of 11 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Lane landed 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 7 of 14. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 3 of 9 pointed at the head. 54% of the significant strikes connected on by Tafa and 100% of them connected on by Lane were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jhonata Diniz, he fought Eduardo Neves and took home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Neves ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Diniz connected on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Diniz landed 42% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 25 of 59. He ended up landing 21 of 54 significant strikes directed at the head. Neves connected on 24 of 38 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 19 of 33 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Neves landed 24 of 38 while Diniz connected on 25 of 59 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jonathan Pearce goes up against David Onama. Pearce steps into the cage with a mark of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The switch fighter reaches 71". Onama stands in at 5'11" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old extends his reach 74". In terms of takedowns, Jonathan Pearce scores a takedown 5.29 times per 15 minutes and David Onama takes his opponents down 0.87 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Pearce is landing 5.60 strikes per minute and lands 56% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have David Onama, who is landing 46% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 5.38 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Uros Medic is set to go up against Tim Means. Means walks into the cage holding a record of 33-15-1 (1 NC). The 40-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Medic stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 9-2-0. The 30-year-old stretches 71". In the category of takedowns, Tim Means is thwarting 65% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of his tries. Medic is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of his attempts and is able to defend against 46% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Means takes 3.65 strikes per min while he deals 5.10 strikes per min. Medic, notwithstanding, absorbs 3.18 strikes/minute and is dishing out 5.64 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Jhonata Diniz (-245)

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Austen Lane vs Jhonata Diniz Pick, 4/27/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 91 Odds

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