Arnold Allen vs Movsar Evloev Pick, 1/20/2024 Predictions UFC 297 Odds

Arnold Allen vs Movsar Evloev

UFC 297

Scotiabank Arena in Toronto

Saturday, January 20, 2024

Arnold Allen will battle Movsar Evloev at UFC 297 on Saturday, January 20, 2024. The opener has Allen priced at +164 while Evloev is coming in at -198.

Arnold "Almighty" Allen walks into the cage with a record of 19-2-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 70". Movsar Evloev stands 5'7" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-0-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 72". Concerning significant strikes, Arnold Allen connects on 3.34 per min and Movsar Evloev is connecting on 4.57 significant strikes per minute. Allen is connecting on 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Evloev is connecting on 49%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Almighty" absorbs 2.86 significant strikes per minute while Evloev absorbs 2.74. Allen also thwarts 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Evloev deflects 61% of the shots thrown his way.

In the category of takedowns, Arnold Allen is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.12 times per 15 min. Allen is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and is stopping 76% of all takedowns attempted on him. Evloev is scoring a takedown on 50% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Allen is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Evloev looks to get 0.3 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Arnold Allen fought Max Holloway and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Holloway ended up landing 149 of 264 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Allen finished this fight landing 80 of 229 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Holloway landed 147 of 262, giving him a percentage of 56%. He landed 77 of 180 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Allen landed 33% of his significant strikes by landing 76 of 225. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 48 of 173 to the head. 99% of the significant strikes landed by Holloway and 100% of them landed by Allen were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Movsar Evloev, he faced off with Diego Lopes and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Lopes ended up connecting on 72% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Evloev connected on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Evloev ended up connecting on 68% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 88 of 129. He connected on 76 of 116 significant strikes aimed at the head. Lopes landed 37 of 69 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 29 of 57 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go, Lopes ended up landing 48 of 82 while Evloev connected on 183 of 228 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Brad Katona enters the Octagon against Garrett Armfield. Katona comes into this bout with a mark of 15-2-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Armfield stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 9-3-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 70". In terms of takedowns, Brad Katona takes his opponents down 1.00 times per 3 rds and Garrett Armfield is able to score a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Katona lands 4.80 strikes per minute and landing 51% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Garrett Armfield, who is landing 44% of the strikes he has tried and lands 5.29 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Sean Woodson is set to battle Charles Jourdain. Jourdain comes into this bout with a record of 15-6-1. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 69". Woodson comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 10-1-1. The 31-year-old stretches 78". Regarding wrestling, Charles Jourdain defends against 47% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 16% of his attempts. Woodson is finishing his takedown tries on 80% of his tries and deflects 83% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Jourdain is taking 4.21 strikes/min while he is connecting on 5.71 strikes per minute. Woodson, moreover, is taking 4.00 strikes/min and is connecting on 5.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Movsar Evloev (-198)

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