Anthony Smith vs Vitor Petrino Pick, 5/4/2024 Predictions UFC 301 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/3/2024

Anthony Smith vs Vitor Petrino

UFC 301

Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, May 4, 2024

Anthony Smith will take on Vitor Petrino at UFC 301 on Saturday, May 4, 2024. The moneyline has Smith priced at +425 while Petrino is at -575.

Anthony "Lionheart" Smith holds a career mark of 37-19-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Vitor Petrino measures in at 6'2" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 11-0-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 77". Concerning significant strikes, Anthony Smith lands 3.21 per minute and Vitor Petrino is landing 2.74 significant strikes per min. Smith is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Petrino is connecting on 45%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Lionheart" takes 4.47 significant strikes per min and Petrino takes 2.49. Smith also stops 46% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Petrino is able to defend against 45% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Anthony Smith ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 301	Anthony Smith	Vitor Petrino
Opening Odds	+425	-575
Record	37-19-0	11-0-0
Average Fight Time	9:57	11:40
Height	6'4"	6'2"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	76"	77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.21	2.74
Striking Accuracy	48%	45%

When it comes to wrestling, Anthony Smith is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.49 times per 3 rds. Smith is taking his opponents to the canvas on 26% of his tries and stopping 48% of the takedowns his opponents try. Petrino is getting his opponent to the mat on 68% of his takedown tries and thwarting 71% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Smith is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.6 submissions per 15 minutes while Petrino attempts 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Anthony Smith went up against Khalil Rountree Jr. and took a loss on the night via a punch to the head in round 3. Jr. ended up landing 56 of 118 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Smith finished this fight landing 52 of 89 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Jr. landed 53 of 114, giving him a percentage of 46%. He landed 33 of 94 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Smith landed 55% of his significant strikes by connecting on 47 of 84. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 27 of 62 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Jr. and 97% of them landed by Smith were thrown at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Vitor Petrino, he battled Tyson Pedro and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Pedro connected on 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Petrino connected on 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Petrino ended up connecting on 36% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 27 of 75. He ended up landing 16 of 59 significant strikes directed at the head. Pedro landed 30 of 60 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 3 of 29 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Pedro was 33 of 64 while Petrino ended up landing 33 of 82 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Paul Craig battles Caio Borralho. Craig looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-7-1. The 36-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Borralho measures in at 5'10" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 15-1-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old reaches 75". Regarding grappling, Paul Craig takes his opponents to the mat 1.76 times per 3 rds and Caio Borralho is averaging a takedown 2.16 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Craig connects on 2.42 strikes per minute and landing 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Caio Borralho, who connects on 58% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 2.73 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Joanderson Brito is set to battle Jack Shore. Shore steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-1-0. The 29-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Brito stands in at 5'8" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 16-3-1. The 29-year-old stretches 72". In the category of takedowns, Jack Shore is stopping 79% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of the times he tries. Brito is finishing his takedown tries on 75% of the tries he takes and curbs 50% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Shore takes 2.20 strikes/min and he is connecting on 3.84 strikes/min. Brito, on the other side, is absorbing 2.62 strikes/minute and is connecting on 3.32 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Anthony Smith (+425)

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Anthony Smith vs Vitor Petrino Pick, 5/4/2024 Predictions UFC 301 Odds

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