Anthony Smith vs Roman Dolidze Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/25/2024

Anthony Smith vs Roman Dolidze

UFC 303

Kingdom Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Saturday, June 29, 2024

Anthony Smith will enter the Octagon against Roman Dolidze at UFC 303 on Saturday, June 29, 2024. The opening moneyline has Smith priced at +360 while Dolidze is priced at -148.

Anthony "Lionheart" Smith holds a career record of 38-19-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Roman Dolidze stands in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 12-3-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". Regarding significant strikes, Anthony Smith is landing 3.23 per minute while Roman Dolidze is landing 2.62 significant strikes per minute. Smith is landing 48% of the significant strikes he throws and Dolidze connects on 39%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Lionheart" allows 4.47 significant strikes per minute and Dolidze absorbs 3.36. Smith also stops 46% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Dolidze is able to stop 51% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Anthony Smith ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 303	Anthony Smith	Roman Dolidze
Opening Odds	+360	-148
Record	38-19-0	12-3-0
Average Fight Time	9:39	11:31
Height	6'4"	6'2"
Weight	205 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	76"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.23	2.62
Striking Accuracy	48%	39%

Concerning takedowns, Anthony Smith is the lesser skilled grappler as he scores a takedown 0.49 times per 15 minutes. Smith is finishing his takedown attempts on 26% of his attempts and stopping 49% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Dolidze is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 33% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Smith is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.7 finishes per 3 rds while Dolidze attempts 1.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Anthony Smith fought Vitor Petrino and got a win for the night via guillotine choke in round 1. Petrino ended up landing 10 of 22 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Smith ended the night having landed 11 of 20 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Petrino landed 10 of 22, which gave him a rate of 45%. He landed 4 of 14 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Smith landed 55% of his significant strikes by sticking 11 of 20. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 7 of 15 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Petrino and 100% of them connected on by Smith were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Roman Dolidze, he squared up with Nassourdine Imavov and wound up walking away in defeat by majority decision in round 5. Imavov landed 59% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Dolidze ended up connecting on 94% of his significant strikes at distance. Dolidze connected on 22% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 34 of 152. He connected on 14 of 113 significant strikes to the head. Imavov ended up landing 112 of 189 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up landing 71 of 132 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Imavov was 154 of 248 while Dolidze ended up connecting on 59 of 190 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ian Machado Garry encounters Michael Page. Machado Garry holds a record of 14-0-0. The 26-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Page stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a record of 22-2-0. The 37-year-old reaches 79". In terms of takedowns, Ian Machado Garry scores a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rds while Michael Page is able to score a takedown 0.77 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Machado Garry lands an average of 6.27 strikes per min and is landing 55% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Michael Page, who is connecting on 69% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 3.14 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Marc-Andre Barriault is set to square up against Joe Pyfer. Pyfer will be looking to add a victory to his record of 12-3-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Barriault stands in at 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 16-7-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 74". In the category of takedowns, Joe Pyfer is able to curb 50% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is scoring a takedown on 41% of his attempts. Barriault is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of the attempts he tries and curbs 67% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Pyfer is absorbing 3.58 strikes per min and he connects on 3.66 per min. Barriault, in contrast, is absorbing 5.67 strikes/minute and is landing 6.19 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Anthony Smith (+360)

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Anthony Smith vs Roman Dolidze Pick, 6/29/2024 Predictions UFC 303 Odds

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