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Anthony Hernandez vs Michel Pereira Pick, 10/19/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 99 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/18/2024

Anthony Hernandez vs Michel Pereira

UFC Vegas 99

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, October 19, 2024

Anthony Hernandez will enter the Octagon with Michel Pereira at UFC Vegas 99 on Saturday, October 19, 2024. The opening odds have Hernandez coming in at -130 while Pereira is priced at +110.

Anthony "Fluffy" Hernandez walks into the cage with a record of 12-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Michel "Demolidor" Pereira stands 6'1" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 31-11-0 (2 NC). The 31-year-old has a reach of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Anthony Hernandez connects on 4.30 per minute while Michel Pereira is connecting on 5.16 significant strikes per min. Hernandez is connecting on 59% of the significant strikes he attempts while Pereira is connecting on 54%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Fluffy" absorbs 3.46 significant strikes per min and "Demolidor" allows 3.70. Hernandez also defends 45% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Pereira is able to thwart 58% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Anthony Hernandez ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 99 Anthony Hernandez Michel Pereira
Opening Odds -130 +110
Record 12-2-0 (1 NC) 31-11-0 (2 NC)
Average Fight Time 7:48 9:47
Height 6'0" 6'1"
Weight 185 lbs 185 lbs
Reach 75" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.30 5.16
Striking Accuracy 59% 54%

Regarding takedowns, Anthony Hernandez is the more productive grappler as he is able to score a takedown 6.62 times per 15 minutes. Hernandez is finishing his takedown attempts on 49% of his tries and is defending 63% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Pereira is scoring a takedown on 55% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 94% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Hernandez is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 3.0 subs per 3 rds while Pereira tries 0.8 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous fight, Anthony Hernandez fought Roman Kopylov and wound up taking home the win by rear naked choke in round 2. Kopylov landed 41 of 63 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Hernandez finished this fight landing 39 of 82 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Kopylov landed 35 of 57, which gave him a rate of 61%. He finished the fight landing 21 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Hernandez ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 34 of 77. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 28 of 68 to the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Kopylov and 70% of them landed by Hernandez were done at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Michel Pereira, he battled Ihor Potieria and ended up getting the win by a guillotine choke in round 1. Potieria connected on 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Pereira ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Pereira ended up connecting on 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 6 of 10. He landed 4 of 7 significant strikes to the head. Potieria connected on 2 of 3 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 0 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Potieria connected on 2 of 3 and Pereira connected on 6 of 10 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Rob Font fights Kyler Phillips. Font steps into the cage with a record of 20-8-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 71". Phillips comes in at 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 12-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 72". In the grappling category, Rob Font scores a takedown 0.89 times per 3 rds and Kyler Phillips is able to score a takedown 2.41 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Font lands 5.53 strikes/min and landing 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Kyler Phillips, who tags the opposition on 45% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 5.72 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Su Mudaerji is set to enter the Octagon with Charles Johnson. Johnson holds a career record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Mudaerji measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 16-6-0. The 28-year-old stretches 72". When it comes to takedowns, Charles Johnson is able to stop 66% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of his tries. Mudaerji is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of the tries he takes and defends against 66% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Johnson is absorbing 3.45 strikes per minute and he lands 4.83 strikes per minute. Mudaerji, at the same time, absorbs 2.73 strikes per minute and is landing 4.64 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Anthony Hernandez (-130)

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