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Andrei Arlovski vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta Pick, 1/13/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 84 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/8/2024

Andrei Arlovski vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta

UFC Vegas 84

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, January 13, 2024

Andrei Arlovski will battle Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC Vegas 84 on Saturday, January 13, 2024. The opening moneyline has Arlovski coming in at +440 while Cortes-Acosta is priced at -600.

Andrei "The Pitbull" Arlovski has a mark of 34-22-0 (2 NC). The 44-year-old weighs 240 lbs and comes in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Waldo "Salsa Boy" Cortes-Acosta measures in at 6'4" and weighs in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 10-1-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Andrei Arlovski is landing 3.78 per min while Waldo Cortes-Acosta is connecting on 6.97 significant strikes per min. Arlovski is landing 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Cortes-Acosta connects on 50%. Regarding defending in the cage, "The Pitbull" allows 3.20 significant strikes per minute while "Salsa Boy" absorbs 4.06. Arlovski also defends against 57% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Cortes-Acosta is able to stop 52% of them.

ufc picks Andrei Arlovski ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 84 Andrei Arlovski Waldo Cortes-Acosta
Opening Odds +440 -600
Record 34-22-0 (2 NC) 10-1-0
Average Fight Time 9:09 10:20
Height 6'3" 6'4"
Weight 240 lbs 260 lbs
Reach 77" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.78 6.97
Striking Accuracy 45% 50%

 

Concerning takedowns, Andrei Arlovski is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.39 times per 15 min. Arlovski is getting his opponent to the mat on 36% of his attempts and defending 76% of all takedown attempts. Cortes-Acosta is taking his opponents down on 15% of his takedown tries and stopping 60% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Arlovski is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Cortes-Acosta attempts 0.7 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Andrei Arlovski fought Don'Tale Mayes and wound up taking the loss via a punch to the head in round 2. Mayes ended up landing 28 of 91 total strikes attempted in that fight. Arlovski finished this fight landing 26 of 58 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Mayes ended up landing 25 of 87, which gave him a percentage of 28%. He ended up landing 14 of 58 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Arlovski ended up landing 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 24 of 56. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 10 of 36 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Mayes and 100% of them connected on by Arlovski were thrown at distance.

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In the last bout for Waldo Cortes-Acosta, he squared up with Lukasz Brzeski and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Brzeski ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Cortes-Acosta landed 80% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Cortes-Acosta landed 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 15 of 45. He landed 9 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. Brzeski ended up connecting on 14 of 22 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 1 of 7 directed at the head. Regarding the total strikes thrown in this fight, Brzeski landed 15 of 23 while Cortes-Acosta connected on 16 of 46 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Matthew Semelsberger fights Preston Parsons. Semelsberger looks to add a win to his total of 11-6-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The switch fighter reaches 75". Parsons stands 5'11" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 10-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 71". In terms of takedowns, Matthew Semelsberger scores a takedown 1.02 times per 15 minutes and Preston Parsons takes his opponents to the mat 3.11 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Semelsberger lands an average of 4.06 strikes/min and is landing 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Preston Parsons, who tags his opponent on 56% of the strikes he has thrown and connects on 4.14 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Gaston Bolanos is set to square up in the Octagon with Marcus McGhee. McGhee looks to add a victory to his record of 8-1-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 69". Bolanos stands 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 7-3-0. The 31-year-old stretches 69". Regarding takedowns, Marcus McGhee is thwarting 85% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts. Bolanos is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 40% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, McGhee takes 1.81 strikes per min while he dishes out 3.42 per minute. Bolanos, on the other hand, is taking 1.13 strikes per minute and is dealing 4.20 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Waldo Cortes-Acosta (-600)

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