Allan Nascimento vs Jafel Filho Pick, 8/10/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 95 Odds
Allan Nascimento vs Jafel Filho
UFC Vegas 95
UFC Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 10, 2024
Allan Nascimento will enter the Octagon with Jafel Filho at UFC Vegas 95 on Saturday, August 10, 2024. The line has Nascimento coming in at -205 while Filho is at +170.
Damon "The Leech" Jackson walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 20-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Chepe "Machine Gun" Mariscal measures in at 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 16-3-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 68". Regarding significant strikes, Allan Nascimento connects on 3.21 per min and Jafel Filho is landing 2.36 significant strikes per minute. Nascimento is landing 61% of the significant strikes he throws while Filho is landing 41%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Puro Osso" absorbs 2.28 significant strikes per minute while "Pastor" takes 2.00. Nascimento also thwarts 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Filho thwarts 47% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 95 | Allan Nascimento | Jafel Filho |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -205 | +170 |
| Record | 20-6-0 | 16-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:04 | 8:29 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.21 | 2.36 |
| Striking Accuracy | 61% | 41% |
Concerning takedowns, Allan Nascimento is the lesser skilled wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.55 times per 15 minutes. Nascimento is finishing his takedown attempts on 26% of his tries and is defending 16% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Filho is finishing his takedowns on 33% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 55% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding sub attempts, Nascimento is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.9 subs per 3 rounds while Filho tries 2.6 subs per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Allan Nascimento squared up with Carlos Hernandez and ended up getting the victory by rear naked choke in round 1. Hernandez ended up landing 3 of 7 total strikes that he let go. Nascimento walked away from this fight having landed 9 of 14 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Hernandez ended up landing 3 of 7, which gave him a percentage of 42%. He ended up landing 2 of 5 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Nascimento landed 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 6 of 11. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 2 of 5 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Hernandez and 100% of them connected on by Nascimento were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Jafel Filho, he squared up with Ode Osbourne and took home the win by way of rear naked choke in round 1. Osbourne ended up connecting on 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Filho ended up landing 14% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Filho ended up landing 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 21 of 35. He landed 18 of 31 significant strikes directed at the head. Osbourne landed 0 of 5 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 0 of 4 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Osbourne landed 1 of 6 while Filho landed 43 of 66 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts on the card to watch out for
One more match to look forward to is when Toshiomi Kazama squares up in the Octagon against Charalampos Grigoriou. Kazama looks to add a win to his total of 10-4-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Grigoriou measures in at 5'7" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-4-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 67". In terms of takedowns, Toshiomi Kazama takes his opponents to the mat 1.51 times per 15 minutes and Charalampos Grigoriou takes his opponents down 3.75 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Kazama connects on 2.22 strikes per minute and lands 54% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Charalampos Grigoriou, who is landing 40% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 2.13 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Yusaku Kinoshita is set to fight Jonny Parsons. Parsons looks to add a victory to his career record of 9-3-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Kinoshita comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 6-3-0. The 23-year-old stretches 71". Concerning wrestling, Jonny Parsons is able to curb 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his attempts. Kinoshita is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Parsons is taking 4.89 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 4.65 strikes per minute. Kinoshita, on the other side, is absorbing 5.12 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.65 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Allan Nascimento (-205)
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