Alexandr Romanov vs Rodrigo Nascimento Pick, 11/2/2024 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/1/2024

Alexandr Romanov vs Rodrigo Nascimento

UFC Edmonton

Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta

Saturday, November 2, 2024

Alexandr Romanov will enter the Octagon with Rodrigo Nascimento at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, November 2, 2024. The opening line has Romanov priced at +102 while Nascimento is at -122.

Alexandr "King Kong" Romanov has a career mark of 17-3-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 262 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Rodrigo "Ze Colmeia" Nascimento comes in at 6'2" and is weighing in at 246 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 80". Regarding significant strikes, Alexandr Romanov is landing 3.94 per min and Rodrigo Nascimento is landing 4.05 significant strikes per min. Romanov is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts while Nascimento connects on 49%. Regarding defense, "King Kong" absorbs 2.14 significant strikes per minute and "Ze Colmeia" allows 4.62. Romanov also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Nascimento stops 43% of them.

ufc picks Alexandr Romanov ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Edmonton	Alexandr Romanov	Rodrigo Nascimento
Opening Odds	+102	-122
Record	17-3-0	11-2-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	7:59	9:11
Height	6'2"	6'2"
Weight	262 lbs	246 lbs
Reach	75"	80"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.94	4.05
Striking Accuracy	52%	49%

In terms of grappling, Alexandr Romanov is the more skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 4.17 times per 15 minutes. Romanov is finishing his takedown attempts on 54% of the times he tries and defending 28% of the takedowns his opponents try. Nascimento is scoring a takedown on 37% of his takedown tries and is defending 76% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Romanov is the more apt fighter by attempting 0.8 submissions per 15 minutes while Nascimento tries 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Alexandr Romanov went up against Jailton Almeida and wound up walking away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 1. Almeida ended up landing 2 of 3 total strikes that he let go. Romanov ended the night having landed 1 of 1 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Almeida landed 1 of 2, which gave him a rate of 50%. He landed 0 of 0 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Romanov ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes by landing 1 of 1. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 0 of 0 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Almeida and 100% of them landed by Romanov were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Rodrigo Nascimento, he battled Derrick Lewis and wound up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Lewis ended up connecting on 36% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Nascimento ended up connecting on 29% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Nascimento connected on 65% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 27 of 41. He ended up connecting on 16 of 30 significant strikes to the head. Lewis ended up connecting on 41 of 75 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 33 of 65 aimed at the head. When discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Lewis ended up connecting on 47 of 81 while Nascimento was 72 of 92 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Serhiy Sidey fights Garrett Armfield. Sidey looks to add a win to his career record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The switch fighter has an arm span of 72". Armfield stands in at 5'6" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-4-0. The 28-year-old stretches 70". Regarding grappling, Serhiy Sidey scores a takedown 0.50 times per 15 minutes while Garrett Armfield gets a takedown 0.70 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Sidey tags his opponents 5.16 strikes per min and connecting on 35% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Garrett Armfield, who is connecting on 55% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 5.59 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Cody Gibson is set to square up in the Octagon against Chad Anheliger. Anheliger will be looking to add a win to his record of 13-7-0. The 37-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 64". Gibson measures 5'10" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 21-10-0. The 37-year-old stretches 71". When it comes to takedowns, Chad Anheliger is able to thwart 42% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 30% of his tries. Gibson is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of the attempts he tries and prevents 68% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Anheliger takes 3.11 strikes/minute and he deals 3.60 per minute. Gibson, in contrast, is absorbing 3.89 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.96 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Alexandr Romanov (+102)

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Alexandr Romanov vs Rodrigo Nascimento Pick, 11/2/2024 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds

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