Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/1/2024

Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

UFC 307

Delta Center in Salt Lake City

Saturday, October 5, 2024

Alex Pereira will take on Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC 307 on Saturday, October 5, 2024. The opening line has Pereira priced at -520 while Jr. is coming in at +390.

Alex "Poatan" Pereira steps into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs. and stands 6' 4". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Khalil Rountree measures 6' 1" and tips the scales at 205 lbs.. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old stretches 76". Regarding significant strikes, Alex Pereira is connecting on 5.23 per minute while Khalil Rountree Jr. connects on 3.84 significant strikes per min. Pereira is connecting on 63% of the significant strikes he throws and Rountree Jr. lands 39%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Poatan" takes 3.51 significant strikes per minute and Rountree allows 4.18. Pereira also prevents 51% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Rountree Jr. is able to stop 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Alex Pereira ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 307	Alex Pereira	Khalil Rountree Jr.
Opening Odds	-520	+390
Record	11-2-0	14-5-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	9:39	7:50
Height	6' 4"	6' 1"
Weight	205 lbs.	205 lbs.
Reach	79"	76"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.23	3.84
Striking Accuracy	63%	39%

In terms of grappling, Alex Pereira is the lesser skilled grappler as he gets a takedown 0.17 times per 3 rounds. Pereira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 85% of his attempts and is stopping 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Rountree Jr. is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his takedown attempts and is defending 58% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Pereira is the more skilled technician by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rds while Rountree Jr. attempts 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Alex Pereira fought Jiri Prochazka and got a win for the night via a kick to the head in round 2. Prochazka landed 7 of 25 total strikes attempted in that fight. Pereira ended the night having landed 49 of 61 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Prochazka ended up landing 7 of 25, giving him a percentage of 28%. He landed 4 of 20 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Pereira ended up landing 76% of his significant strikes by connecting on 38 of 50. Of those significant strikes, he was 21 of 32 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Prochazka and 55% of them landed by Pereira were done at distance.

In the last bout for Khalil Rountree Jr., he squared up with Anthony Smith and wound up taking home the win by a punch to the head in round 3. Smith connected on 97% of his significant strikes at distance while Jr. ended up landing 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Jr. connected on 46% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 53 of 114. He ended up connecting on 33 of 94 significant strikes to the head. Smith landed 47 of 84 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 27 of 62 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Smith ended up connecting on 52 of 89 and Jr. connected on 56 of 118 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jose Aldo takes on Mario Bautista. Aldo will be looking to add a win to his career record of 32-8-0. The 38-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs. and stands in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Bautista measures in at 5' 9" and records a weight of 135 lbs.. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". Regarding grappling, Jose Aldo gets his opposition to the mat 0.51 times per 3 rounds and Mario Bautista takes his opponents down 2.25 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Aldo is connecting on 3.63 strikes per min and is landing 46% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Mario Bautista, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has attempted and connects for an average of 5.69 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kevin Holland is set to go up against Roman Dolidze. Dolidze steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 13-3-0. The 36-year-old will fight at 185 lbs. and stands 6' 2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Holland stands 6' 3" and weighs in at 185 lbs.. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 26-11-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old stretches 81". Concerning grappling, Roman Dolidze is preventing 33% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 40% of the times he tries. Holland is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his tries and prevents 54% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Dolidze takes 3.37 strikes per min and he is landing 3.13 strikes per min. Holland, in contrast, is absorbing 3.20 strikes/minute and is dealing 4.25 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alex Pereira (-520)

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Alex Pereira vs Khalil Rountree Jr. Pick, 10/5/2024 Predictions UFC 307 Odds

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