Alex Caceres vs Sean Woodson Pick, 5/11/2024 Predictions UFC St. Louis Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/8/2024

Alex Caceres vs Sean Woodson

UFC St. Louis

Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO

Saturday, May 11, 2024

Alex Caceres will take on Sean Woodson at UFC St. Louis on Saturday, May 11, 2024. The opener has Caceres coming in at +164 while Woodson is priced at -198.

Alex "Bruce Leeroy" Caceres walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-14-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Sean "The Sniper" Woodson measures in at 6'2" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-1-1. The 31-year-old reaches 78". Concerning significant strikes, Alex Caceres is connecting on 4.16 per min while Sean Woodson connects on 5.40 significant strikes per minute. Caceres lands 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Woodson is connecting on 46%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Bruce Leeroy" takes 2.93 significant strikes per minute and "The Sniper" allows 4.00. Caceres also prevents 63% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Woodson is able to curb 58% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Alex Caceres predictions best bet odds

UFC St. Louis	Alex Caceres	Sean Woodson
Opening Odds	+164	-198
Record	21-14-0 (1 NC)	11-1-1
Average Fight Time	11:55	12:23
Height	5'10"	6'2"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	73"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.16	5.40
Striking Accuracy	50%	46%

Regarding wrestling, Alex Caceres is not as effective of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.56 times per 3 rds. Caceres is scoring a takedown on 68% of his tries and is defending 64% of all takedown attempts. Woodson is finishing his takedown attempts on 62% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 84% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Caceres is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Woodson looks to get 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, Alex Caceres went up against Giga Chikadze and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Chikadze ended up landing 65 of 141 total strikes attempted in that contest. Caceres finished this fight landing 62 of 168 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Chikadze ended up landing 65 of 141, giving him a percentage of 46%. He ended up landing 25 of 83 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Caceres landed 36% of his significant strikes by landing 62 of 168. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 25 of 110 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Chikadze and 100% of them landed by Caceres were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Sean Woodson, he squared up with Charles Jourdain and wound up taking home the win via split decision in round 3. Jourdain ended up connecting on 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Woodson landed 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Woodson landed 47% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 80 of 168. He ended up connecting on 59 of 143 significant strikes to the head. Jourdain ended up connecting on 60 of 156 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 19 of 98 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that contest, Jourdain connected on 78 of 175 and Woodson ended up landing 102 of 193 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Waldo Cortes-Acosta takes on Robelis Despaigne. Cortes-Acosta has a career record of 11-1-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 260 lbs and stands in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 78". Despaigne measures 6'7" and records a weight of 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 5-0-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 84". In terms of takedowns, Waldo Cortes-Acosta is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 15 min and Robelis Despaigne scores a takedown 0.80 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Cortes-Acosta is landing 6.13 strikes per min and is landing 47% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Robelis Despaigne, who tags his opponent on 77% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 23.33 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Viacheslav Borshchev is set to enter the Octagon against Chase Hooper. Hooper steps into the Octagon with a record of 13-3-1. The 24-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 74". Borshchev measures 5'11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 7-3-1. The 32-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of wrestling, Chase Hooper is thwarting 55% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 22% of the times he tries. Borshchev is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his tries and is able to curb 36% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Hooper absorbs 3.59 strikes/min while he is connecting on 4.86 strikes per min. Borshchev, on the other hand, is taking 4.07 strikes per minute and dishes out 5.82 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Alex Caceres (+164)

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Alex Caceres vs Sean Woodson Pick, 5/11/2024 Predictions UFC St. Louis Odds

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