Zac Pauga vs Modestas Bukauskas Pick, 6/17/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 75 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 6/12/2023

Zac Pauga vs Modestas Bukauskas

UFC Vegas 75

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, June 17, 2023

Zac Pauga will take on Modestas Bukauskas at UFC Vegas 75 on Saturday, June 17, 2023. The opening moneyline has Pauga at +155 while Bukauskas is priced at -190.

Zac "The Ripper" Pauga holds a record of 7-1-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Modestas "The Baltic Gladiator" Bukauskas measures in at 6'3" and steps on the scale at 205 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-5-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Zac Pauga is landing 4.42 per minute while Modestas Bukauskas connects on 3.37 significant strikes per minute. Pauga lands 67% of the significant strikes he tries while Bukauskas lands 38%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Ripper" takes 1.99 significant strikes per min and "The Baltic Gladiator" takes 4.02. Pauga also stops 65% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Bukauskas deflects 50% of them.

ufc picks Zac Pauga predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 75	Zac Pauga	Modestas Bukauskas
Opening Odds	+155	-190
Record	7-1-0	14-5-0
Average Fight Time	10:18	8:54
Height	6'2"	6'3"
Weight	205 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	76"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.42	3.37
Striking Accuracy	67%	38%

In terms of grappling, Zac Pauga is the more competent wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 3 rds. Pauga is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and stopping 85% of all takedown tries against him. Bukauskas is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he tries and defending 71% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Pauga is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.9 subs per 15 min while Bukauskas goes for 0.5 subs per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Zac Pauga faced Jordan Wright and got a win for the night by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Wright ended up landing 199 of 261 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Pauga ended the night having landed 85 of 114 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Wright ended up landing 29 of 78, which means his percentage was 37%. He finished the fight landing 15 of 55 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Pauga ended up landing 69% of his significant strikes by connecting on 59 of 85. Of those significant strikes, he landed 31 of 54 pointed at the head. 62% of the significant strikes landed by Wright and 35% of them landed by Pauga were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Modestas Bukauskas, he faced off with Tyson Pedro and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Pedro landed 86% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Bukauskas ended up landing 77% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bukauskas landed 40% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 44 of 109. He landed 25 of 88 significant strikes to the head. Pedro ended up connecting on 45 of 81 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 18 of 45 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Pedro ended up connecting on 54 of 90 and Bukauskas ended up connecting on 56 of 121 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Tereza Bleda squares up with Gabriella Fernandes. Bleda will be looking to add a win to her career record of 6-1-0. The 21-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Fernandes stands 5'6" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 66". Regarding grappling, Tereza Bleda gets a takedown 1.13 times per 15 min and Gabriella Fernandes takes her opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Bleda lands 2.57 strikes per min and is connecting on 50% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Gabriella Fernandes, who connects on 46% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 1.73 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jared Cannonier is set to enter the Octagon with Marvin Vettori. Vettori walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-6-1. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Cannonier stands 5'11" and weighs 185 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 16-6-0. The 39-year-old has an arm span of 77". Concerning wrestling, Marvin Vettori curbs 75% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of his attempts. Cannonier is finishing his takedowns on 25% of his attempts and is able to defend against 64% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Vettori takes 3.65 strikes per minute while he lands 4.38 strikes per minute. Cannonier, on the contrary, takes 3.86 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.00 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Modestas Bukauskas (-190)

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Zac Pauga vs Modestas Bukauskas Pick, 6/17/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 75 Odds

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