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Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt Pick, 2/4/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 68 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/31/2023

ufc picks Yusaku Kinoshita predictions best bet odds

Yusaku Kinoshita vs Adam Fugitt

UFC Vegas 68

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, February 4, 2023

Yusaku Kinoshita will face off against Adam Fugitt at UFC Vegas 68 on Saturday, February 4, 2023. The line has Kinoshita at -305 while Fugitt is coming in at +255.

Yusaku Kinoshita comes into this bout with a record of 6-1-0. The 22-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Adam Fugitt measures in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career record of 8-3-0. The 34-year-old reaches 77". Concerning significant strikes, Yusaku Kinoshita is landing 5.79 per minute while Adam Fugitt lands 5.74 significant strikes per minute. Kinoshita lands 61% of the significant strikes he attempts while Fugitt is connecting on 56%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Kinoshita absorbs 3.45 significant strikes per min while Fugitt allows 7.44. Kinoshita also prevents 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Fugitt is able to defend against 45% of the strikes thrown his way.

 

UFC Vegas 68 Yusaku Kinoshita Adam Fugitt
Opening Odds -305 +255
Record 6-1-0 8-3-0
Average Fight Time 10:43 11:09
Height 6'0" 6'1"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 71" 77"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.79 5.74
Striking Accuracy 61% 56%

 

Concerning takedowns, Yusaku Kinoshita is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Kinoshita is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his tries and is defending 15% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Fugitt is taking his opponents down on 12% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 80% of the attempts against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Kinoshita is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by going for 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Fugitt looks to get 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Yusaku Kinoshita went up against Jose Henrique and got a win for the night by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Henrique landed 37 of 85 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Kinoshita walked away from this fight having landed 64 of 103 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Henrique ended up landing 37 of 85, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He landed 31 of 76 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Kinoshita ended up landing 61% of his significant strikes by sticking 62 of 101. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 28 of 56 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Henrique and 87% of them landed by Kinoshita were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Adam Fugitt, he faced off with Michael Morales and took a loss on the night by a punch to the head in round 3. Morales connected on 77% of his significant strikes at distance while Fugitt ended up connecting on 90% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Fugitt ended up landing 56% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 64 of 113. He landed 32 of 74 significant strikes directed at the head. Morales ended up connecting on 83 of 151 significant strikes in that fight. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he ended up connecting on 74 of 140 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Morales connected on 89 of 157 while Fugitt connected on 70 of 120 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jeka Saragih squares up against Anshul Jubli. Saragih looks to add a victory to his total of 13-2-0. The 28-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Jubli measures 6'0" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 6-0-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 69". Regarding grappling, Jeka Saragih gets his opposition to the mat 2.98 times per 15 minutes while Anshul Jubli takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Saragih lands 3.45 strikes/min and is landing 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Anshul Jubli, who connects on 35% of the strikes he attempts and lands 6.47 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Yi Zha is set to go up against JeongYeong Lee. Lee will be looking to add a win to his career total of 9-1-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Zha stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 21-3-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 70". In terms of wrestling, JeongYeong Lee is able to curb 50% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 15% of his attempts. Zha is finishing his takedowns on 75% of his attempts and is able to curb 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Lee takes 4.62 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 10.77 per min. Zha, moreover, absorbs 2.21 strikes per minute and is dealing 2.50 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Yusaku Kinoshita (-305)

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