Yazmin Jauregui vs Denise Gomes Pick, 7/8/2023 Predictions UFC 290 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/3/2023

Yazmin Jauregui vs Denise Gomes

UFC 290

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 8, 2023

Yazmin Jauregui will enter the Octagon against Denise Gomes at UFC 290 on Saturday, July 8, 2023. The odds have Jauregui priced at -420 while Gomes is priced at +310.

Yazmin Jauregui walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-0-0. The 24-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Denise "Dee" Gomes comes in at 5'2" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her total of 7-2-0. The 23-year-old extends her reach 63". In terms of significant strikes, Yazmin Jauregui is landing 6.35 per minute and Denise Gomes is connecting on 4.67 significant strikes per min. Jauregui lands 41% of the significant strikes she tries while Gomes is landing 47%. In terms of defending themselves, Jauregui takes 4.23 significant strikes per minute and "Dee" allows 3.13. Jauregui also deflects 57% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Gomes is able to thwart 55% of the shots thrown in her direction.

ufc picks Denise Gomes ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 290	Yazmin Jauregui	Denise Gomes
Opening Odds	-420	+310
Record	10-0-0	7-2-0
Average Fight Time	12:03	12:34
Height	5'3"	5'2"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	64"	63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.35	4.67
Striking Accuracy	41%	47%

Regarding takedowns, Yazmin Jauregui is not as effective of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. Jauregui is finishing her takedown attempts on 15% of the times she tries and is stuffing 85% of the takedowns her opponents try. Gomes is taking her opponents to the canvas on 33% of her takedown tries and is defending 50% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Jauregui is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.5 finishes per 15 min while Gomes tries 1.2 finishes per 3 rds.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Yazmin Jauregui faced Istela Nunes and wound up getting the win by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Nunes ended up landing 39 of 63 total strikes that she let go in that contest. Jauregui finished this fight landing 103 of 200 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Nunes ended up landing 36 of 60, which means her percentage was 60%. She ended up landing 20 of 41 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Jauregui ended up landing 43% of her significant strikes by sticking 67 of 154. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, she was 54 of 135 to the head. 77% of the significant strikes connected on by Nunes and 56% of them landed by Jauregui were thrown at distance.

In the last bout for Denise Gomes, she squared up with Bruna Brasil and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Brasil landed 60% of her significant strikes at distance while Gomes connected on 38% of her significant strikes at distance. Gomes ended up connecting on 58% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 54 of 93. She ended up connecting on 28 of 58 significant strikes aimed at the head. Brasil ended up landing 15 of 22 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she ended up landing 7 of 11 to the head. When discussing total strikes that she threw in that fight, Brasil connected on 43 of 50 while Gomes connected on 94 of 133 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Alexander Volkanovski goes up against Yair Rodriguez. Volkanovski looks to add a win to his record of 25-2-0. The 34-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Rodriguez measures 5'11" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 16-3-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old reaches 71". When it comes to grappling, Alexander Volkanovski is averaging a takedown 1.52 times per 3 rounds while Yair Rodriguez gets a takedown 0.79 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Volkanovski lands 6.35 strikes/min and connects on 56% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Yair Rodriguez, who is landing 46% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.78 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Alexandre Pantoja is set to enter the Octagon with Brandon Moreno. Moreno walks into the cage holding a mark of 21-6-2. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 70". Pantoja measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 25-5-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 67". Regarding takedowns, Brandon Moreno defends against 67% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedowns on 45% of the times he tries. Pantoja is taking his opponents down on 40% of his tries and is able to curb 67% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Moreno absorbs 3.19 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 3.55 strikes/minute. Pantoja, on the contrary, is absorbing 3.38 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.25 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Yazmin Jauregui (-420)

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Yazmin Jauregui vs Denise Gomes Pick, 7/8/2023 Predictions UFC 290 Odds

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