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William Gomis vs Lucas Almeida Pick, 9/2/2023 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/28/2023

William Gomis vs Lucas Almeida

UFC Paris

Accor Arena in Paris, France

Saturday, September 2, 2023

William Gomis will take on Lucas Almeida at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 2, 2023. The opening moneyline has Gomis at -142 while Almeida is coming in at +120.

William "Jaguar" Gomis looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-2-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 73". Lucas Almeida stands in at 5'11" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old extends his reach 71". Concerning significant strikes, William Gomis is connecting on 1.97 per minute while Lucas Almeida connects on 5.29 significant strikes per min. Gomis is connecting on 39% of the significant strikes he attempts and Almeida is landing 47%. Regarding defense, "Jaguar" allows 1.17 significant strikes per minute and Almeida absorbs 5.29. Gomis also thwarts 81% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Almeida is able to curb 45% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks William Gomis ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Paris William Gomis Lucas Almeida
Opening Odds -142 +120
Record 12-2-0 14-2-0
Average Fight Time 15:00 10:54
Height 6'0" 5'11"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 73" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.97 5.29
Striking Accuracy 39% 47%

 

When it comes to wrestling, William Gomis is the better wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.50 times per 15 minutes. Gomis is getting his opponent to the mat on 60% of his attempts and stopping 71% of all takedowns attempted on him. Almeida is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his takedown tries and defending 40% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Gomis is the more apt fighter by attempting 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds while Almeida goes for 0.4 finishes per 3 rds.

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In his previous fight, William Gomis went up against Francis Marshall and took home the win via split decision in round 3. Marshall ended up landing 35 of 165 total strikes that he let go. Gomis finished this fight landing 30 of 84 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Marshall landed 15 of 132, giving him a percentage of 11%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 123 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Gomis landed 34% of his significant strikes by landing 27 of 79. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 6 of 47 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Marshall and 100% of them landed by Gomis were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Lucas Almeida, he went up against Pat Sabatini and walked away with a loss by an arm triangle in round 2. Sabatini connected on 3% of his significant strikes at distance while Almeida landed 50% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Almeida landed 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 2 of 4. He landed 0 of 2 significant strikes directed at the head. Sabatini connected on 27 of 35 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 25 of 32 directed at the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Sabatini ended up landing 88 of 97 while Almeida connected on 3 of 5 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Taylor Lapilus squares up against Muin Gafurov. Lapilus will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-3-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Gafurov comes in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-5-0. The 27-year-old stretches 68". Regarding grappling, Taylor Lapilus takes his opponents to the canvas 0.58 times per 3 rds and Muin Gafurov scores a takedown 2.50 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Lapilus tags his opponents 3.77 strikes/minute and connects on 45% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Muin Gafurov, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.07 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Rhys McKee is set to square up in the Octagon against Ange Loosa. Loosa comes into this fight holding a mark of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". McKee comes in at 6'2" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 10-4-1. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 78". Concerning wrestling, Ange Loosa stops 85% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 30% of his attempts. McKee is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts and deflects 20% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Loosa takes 7.47 strikes per minute and he dishes out 6.24 strikes/min. McKee, in contrast, is absorbing 11.90 strikes per minute and connects on 6.83 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take William Gomis (-142)

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