Vitor Petrino vs Modestas Bukauskas Pick, 11/4/2023 Predictions UFC Sao Paulo Odds
Vitor Petrino vs Modestas Bukauskas
UFC Sao Paulo
Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil
Saturday, November 4, 2023
Vitor Petrino will enter the Octagon against Modestas Bukauskas at UFC Sao Paulo on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The moneyline has Petrino at -238 while Bukauskas is at +190.
Vitor Petrino steps into the cage holding a mark of 9-0-0. The 26-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Modestas "The Baltic Gladiator" Bukauskas comes in at 6'3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 15-5-0. The 29-year-old stretches 78". Concerning significant strikes, Vitor Petrino connects on 3.35 per minute and Modestas Bukauskas is landing 3.46 significant strikes per minute. Petrino is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bukauskas is connecting on 40%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Petrino absorbs 2.84 significant strikes per minute and "The Baltic Gladiator" absorbs 4.13. Petrino also deflects 43% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Bukauskas prevents 48% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Sao Paulo | Vitor Petrino | Modestas Bukauskas |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -238 | +190 |
| Record | 9-0-0 | 15-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:26 | 9:55 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 77" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.35 | 3.46 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 40% |
Concerning wrestling, Vitor Petrino is the better grappler as he scores a takedown 4.42 times per 3 rds. Petrino is scoring a takedown on 73% of his tries and stopping 68% of all takedowns attempted on him. Bukauskas is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Petrino is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 1.2 finishes per 15 minutes while Bukauskas tries 0.7 finishes per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Vitor Petrino fought Marcin Prachnio and ended up getting the win by an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Prachnio ended up landing 147 of 185 total strikes attempted in that contest. Petrino finished this fight landing 72 of 111 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Prachnio landed 55 of 88, which gave him a rate of 62%. He ended up landing 25 of 54 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Petrino landed 54% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 44 of 81. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 32 of 68 aimed at the head. 74% of the significant strikes connected on by Prachnio and 54% of them connected on by Petrino were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Modestas Bukauskas, he went up against Zac Pauga and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Pauga landed 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Bukauskas landed 89% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bukauskas ended up connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 56 of 112. He ended up connecting on 42 of 96 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pauga ended up landing 67 of 117 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 35 of 80 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Pauga connected on 72 of 123 and Bukauskas connected on 62 of 120 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Lucas Alexander faces off against David Onama. Alexander comes into this bout holding a record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Onama measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old stretches 74". In the grappling category, Lucas Alexander is averaging a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds while David Onama is averaging a takedown 0.87 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Alexander lands an average of 5.05 strikes/minute and landing 53% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have David Onama, who tags the opposition on 46% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 5.38 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Denise Gomes is set to go up against Angela Hill. Hill has a record of 15-13-0. The 38-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 64". Gomes stands 5'2" and is weighing in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-2-0. The 23-year-old extends her reach 63". Regarding takedowns, Angela Hill is able to thwart 76% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 29% of the times she tries. Gomes is taking her opponents to the mat on 33% of her tries and defends against 50% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Hill takes 4.97 strikes/min while she is landing 5.46 strikes/min. Gomes, at the same time, is absorbing 3.10 strikes/min and is connecting on 5.07 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Modestas Bukauskas (+190)
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