Victor Henry vs Tony Gravely Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds

Victor Henry vs Tony Gravely

UFC Las Vegas

The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 11, 2023

Victor Henry will face off with Tony Gravely at UFC Las Vegas on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The opening odds have Henry priced at -145 while Gravely is coming in at +120.

Victor "La Mangosta" Henry steps into the cage with a mark of 22-6-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The switch fighter has a reach of 68". Tony Gravely stands in at 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 23-8-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 69". Concerning significant strikes, Victor Henry lands 7.87 per min while Tony Gravely is landing 3.61 significant strikes per minute. Henry is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Gravely is connecting on 48%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "La Mangosta" allows 6.47 significant strikes per minute while Gravely absorbs 3.45. Henry also stops 47% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Gravely prevents 47% of the shots thrown.

Concerning takedowns, Victor Henry is not as effective of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rds. Henry is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the times he tries and thwarting 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Gravely is taking his opponents to the mat on 47% of his takedown tries and thwarting 52% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Henry is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.1 submissions per 15 minutes while Gravely looks to get 0.3 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Victor Henry faced Raphael Assuncao and walked away with a loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Assuncao ended up landing 78 of 110 total strikes that he let go. Henry finished this fight landing 61 of 134 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Assuncao ended up landing 60 of 91, which means his percentage was 65%. He landed 40 of 65 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Henry ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes by sticking 55 of 126. Out of those significant strikes, he was 23 of 85 pointed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes connected on by Assuncao and 92% of them landed by Henry were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Tony Gravely, he went up against Javid Basharat and was defeated via unanimous decision in round 3. Basharat landed 86% of his significant strikes at distance while Gravely landed 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Gravely ended up connecting on 29% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 33 of 113. He landed 17 of 84 significant strikes to the head. Basharat connected on 80 of 149 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 50 of 113 to the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that fight, Basharat landed 106 of 177 while Gravely was 39 of 119 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Tyson Nam faces off against Bruno Silva. Nam looks to add a victory to his career total of 21-12-1. The 39-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 68". Silva measures 5'4" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 12-5-2 (1 NC). The 32-year-old has a reach of 65". Regarding grappling, Tyson Nam is averaging a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes while Bruno Silva scores a takedown 2.89 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Nam tags his opponents 3.68 strikes/min and landing 32% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Bruno Silva, who tags his opponent on 46% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 2.98 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Abubakar Nurmagomedov is set to go up against Carlston Harris. Harris steps into the Octagon holding a record of 17-5-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 76". Nurmagomedov measures 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-3-1. The 33-year-old stretches 72". In terms of grappling, Carlston Harris is thwarting 75% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his tries. Nurmagomedov is taking his opponents to the mat on 30% of the attempts he tries and curbs 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Harris is absorbing 2.07 strikes per min while he connects on 4.03 strikes per minute. Nurmagomedov, at the same time, is absorbing 2.53 strikes/min and is landing 3.17 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Victor Henry (-145)

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