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Vicente Luque vs Rafael Dos Anjos Pick, 8/12/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 78 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/7/2023

Vicente Luque vs Rafael Dos Anjos

UFC Vegas 78

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, August 12, 2023

Vicente Luque will face off with Rafael Dos Anjos at UFC Vegas 78 on Saturday, August 12, 2023. The moneyline has Luque coming in at -102 while Anjos is coming in at -118.

Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque comes into this fight holding a mark of 21-9-1. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 76". Rafael Dos Anjos comes in at 5'8" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 32-14-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 70". With respect to significant strikes, Vicente Luque is connecting on 5.49 per minute and Rafael Dos Anjos is connecting on 3.56 significant strikes per minute. Luque connects on 52% of the significant strikes he attempts while Dos Anjos is landing 47%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Silent Assassin" absorbs 5.51 significant strikes per minute while Dos Anjos takes 3.21. Luque also defends against 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Dos Anjos deflects 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Vicente Luque ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 78 Vicente Luque Rafael Dos Anjos
Opening Odds -102 -118
Record 21-9-1 32-14-0
Average Fight Time 9:20 14:36
Height 5'11" 5'8"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 76" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.49 3.56
Striking Accuracy 52% 47%

 

In terms of grappling, Vicente Luque is not as effective of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.51 times per 3 rounds. Luque is scoring a takedown on 50% of his tries and is stuffing 61% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Dos Anjos is finishing his takedown attempts on 35% of his takedown tries and thwarting 59% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Luque is the more capable fighter by trying 0.8 submissions per 3 rds while Dos Anjos looks to get 0.6 submissions per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Vicente Luque fought Geoff Neal and took a loss on the night via a punch to the head in round 3. Neal landed 125 of 215 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Luque finished this fight landing 97 of 203 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Neal ended up landing 121 of 211, giving him a percentage of 57%. He finished the fight landing 113 of 202 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Luque ended up landing 47% of his significant strikes by sticking 97 of 203. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 56 of 156 to the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Neal and 93% of them connected on by Luque were tallied at a distance.

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In the last fight for Rafael Dos Anjos, he faced off with Bryan Barberena and got a win for the night via rear naked choke in round 2. Barberena ended up connecting on 71% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Anjos landed 15% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Anjos landed 80% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 20 of 25. He landed 3 of 8 significant strikes to the head. Barberena ended up connecting on 14 of 29 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 6 of 18 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown in that contest, Barberena was 61 of 79 and Anjos was 36 of 41 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

One more match to look forward to is when Cub Swanson faces off against Hakeem Dawodu. Swanson looks to add a win to his total of 28-13-0. The 39-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Dawodu measures 5'8" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 13-3-1. The 32-year-old has a reach of 73". When it comes to grappling, Cub Swanson takes his opponents to the canvas 1.09 times per 3 rounds while Hakeem Dawodu takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Swanson lands 4.68 strikes per minute and connects on 50% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Hakeem Dawodu, who tags the opposition on 50% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 5.33 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Chris Daukaus is set to clash with Khalil Rountree Jr.. Rountree Jr. walks into the Octagon with a mark of 12-5-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter stretches 76". Daukaus measures in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 12-6-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 76". Concerning grappling, Khalil Rountree Jr. is thwarting 54% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his attempts. Daukaus is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the attempts he tries and deflects 90% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Rountree Jr. absorbs 4.19 strikes/minute and he is landing 3.67 strikes/min. Daukaus, at the same time, takes 4.48 strikes per minute and is dishing out 6.41 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Vicente Luque (-102)

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