Vicente Luque vs Ian Garry Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

by Tony Sink - 12/12/2023

Vicente Luque vs Ian Garry

UFC 296

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 16, 2023

Vicente Luque will enter the Octagon with Ian Garry at UFC 296 on Saturday, December 16, 2023. The opener has Luque priced at +275 while Garry is coming in at -345.

Vicente "The Silent Assassin" Luque comes into this bout with a mark of 22-9-1. The 32-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Ian "The Future" Garry stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-0-0. The 26-year-old stretches 74". In the category of significant strikes, Vicente Luque connects on 5.17 per minute while Ian Garry is landing 6.67 significant strikes per minute. Luque connects on 52% of the significant strikes he tries while Garry connects on 56%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "The Silent Assassin" takes 5.15 significant strikes per min and "The Future" takes 3.58. Luque also curbs 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Garry is able to curb 53% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Vicente Luque ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 296	Vicente Luque	Ian Garry
Opening Odds	+275	-345
Record	22-9-1	12-0-0
Average Fight Time	10:07	11:13
Height	5'11"	6'3"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.17	6.67
Striking Accuracy	52%	56%

In terms of wrestling, Vicente Luque is the more efficient grappler as he gets a takedown 1.04 times per 3 rds. Luque is taking his opponents to the canvas on 60% of the times he tries and defending 62% of the takedowns his opponents try. Garry is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 69% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Luque is the more able fighter by going for 0.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Garry looks to get 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

Get all of our UFC Picks

In his last bout, Vicente Luque fought Rafael Dos Anjos and ended up getting the win by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Anjos ended up landing 94 of 170 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Luque walked away from this fight having landed 138 of 221 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Anjos landed 66 of 136, which means his percentage was 48%. He landed 42 of 108 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Luque ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 72 of 141. Of those significant strikes, he landed 48 of 115 aimed at the head. 57% of the significant strikes landed by Anjos and 83% of them landed by Luque were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Ian Garry, he went up against Neil Magny and took home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Magny landed 92% of his significant strikes at distance while Garry ended up connecting on 92% of his significant strikes at distance. Garry ended up connecting on 60% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 91 of 150. He connected on 32 of 90 significant strikes directed at the head. Magny connected on 27 of 66 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 41 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Magny was 51 of 93 while Garry connected on 111 of 171 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Josh Emmett faces off against Bryce Mitchell. Emmett steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-4-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Mitchell stands 5'10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 16-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 70". When it comes to grappling, Josh Emmett scores a takedown 0.92 times per 3 rounds while Bryce Mitchell scores a takedown 3.51 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Emmett connects for an average of 4.07 strikes/min and is landing 36% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Bryce Mitchell, who is landing 58% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 2.34 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Brian Kelleher is set to battle Cody Garbrandt. Garbrandt will be looking to add a win to his career record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 65". Kelleher measures 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a mark of 24-14-0. The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 66". Concerning grappling, Cody Garbrandt prevents 78% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 34% of the times he tries. Kelleher is finishing his takedowns on 42% of his tries and deflects 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Garbrandt is absorbing 3.89 strikes/min and he is connecting on 3.00 strikes per minute. Kelleher, notwithstanding, takes 4.61 strikes/min and is dealing 3.36 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Vicente Luque (+275)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 16, 2024 @ 12:00 PM
Expert:	Griffin Murphy
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Vicente Luque vs Ian Garry Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks