Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan Pick, 7/15/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 77 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/10/2023

Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan

UFC Vegas 77

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, July 15, 2023

Tucker Lutz will enter the Octagon with Melsik Baghdasaryan at UFC Vegas 77 on Saturday, July 15, 2023. The opener has Lutz coming in at +175 while Baghdasaryan is coming in at -210.

Tucker "Top Gun" Lutz holds a mark of 12-3-0. The 28-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Melsik "The Gun" Baghdasaryan stands in at 5'9" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 7-2-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Tucker Lutz is connecting on 4.04 per min while Melsik Baghdasaryan is landing 5.63 significant strikes per min. Lutz connects on 49% of the significant strikes he throws while Baghdasaryan connects on 61%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Top Gun" absorbs 3.02 significant strikes per minute and "The Gun" absorbs 3.28. Lutz also prevents 45% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Baghdasaryan is able to stop 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Tucker Lutz ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 77	Tucker Lutz	Melsik Baghdasaryan
Opening Odds	+175	-210
Record	12-3-0	7-2-0
Average Fight Time	13:34	10:58
Height	5'8"	5'9"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	72"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.04	5.63
Striking Accuracy	49%	61%

Concerning takedowns, Tucker Lutz is the more apt grappler as he scores a takedown 1.77 times per 15 min. Lutz is scoring a takedown on 50% of his attempts and is stopping 69% of all takedown attempts. Baghdasaryan is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 76% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Lutz is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Baghdasaryan attempts 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Tucker Lutz went up against Daniel Pineda and wound up walking away in defeat by way of guillotine choke in round 2. Pineda landed 41 of 66 total strikes attempted in that contest. Lutz ended the night having landed 33 of 84 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Pineda ended up landing 24 of 45, which means his percentage was 53%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Lutz ended up landing 35% of his significant strikes by connecting on 28 of 78. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 17 of 61 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Pineda and 78% of them landed by Lutz were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Melsik Baghdasaryan, he battled Josh Culibao and walked away in defeat by rear naked choke in round 2. Culibao landed 93% of his significant strikes at distance and Baghdasaryan landed 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Baghdasaryan landed 59% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 26 of 44. He ended up landing 6 of 19 significant strikes directed at the head. Culibao ended up connecting on 16 of 45 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 3 of 24 directed at the head. Relating to the strikes he fired off in this contest, Culibao landed 16 of 45 while Baghdasaryan ended up landing 26 of 44 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Austin Lingo squares up in the Octagon against Melquizael Costa. Lingo steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Costa comes in at 5'10" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 19-6-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of takedowns, Austin Lingo is able to score a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rds while Melquizael Costa takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Lingo tags his opponents 4.21 strikes per minute and connecting on 40% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Melquizael Costa, who lands 46% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 2.53 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Genaro Valdez is set to face off with Evan Elder. Elder holds a mark of 7-2-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The switch fighter extends his reach 72". Valdez stands in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 10-2-0. The 31-year-old stretches 72". In the category of takedowns, Evan Elder is able to stop 28% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents to the mat on 12% of his attempts. Valdez is taking his opponents down on 44% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 40% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Elder takes 5.42 strikes per minute and he is dealing 3.78 per min. Valdez, on the other side, takes 7.63 strikes per min and dishes out 3.96 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Tucker Lutz (+175)

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Tucker Lutz vs Melsik Baghdasaryan Pick, 7/15/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 77 Odds

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