Trey Ogden vs Nikolas Motta Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

by Tony Sink - 11/15/2023

Trey Ogden vs Nikolas Motta

UFC Vegas 82

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Trey Ogden will face off with Nikolas Motta at UFC Vegas 82 on Saturday, November 18, 2023. The odds have Ogden coming in at +114 while Motta is at -135.

Trey "Samurai Ghost" Ogden walks into the cage with a record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Nikolas "Iron" Motta measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". With respect to significant strikes, Trey Ogden connects on 3.42 per minute while Nikolas Motta is landing 3.40 significant strikes per min. Ogden connects on 41% of the significant strikes he attempts while Motta connects on 34%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Samurai Ghost" takes 4.89 significant strikes per minute and "Iron" absorbs 4.71. Ogden also stops 54% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Motta is able to thwart 58% of them.

ufc picks Trey Ogden ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 82	Trey Ogden	Nikolas Motta
Opening Odds	+114	-135
Record	16-6-0	13-5-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	6:54
Height	5'11"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.42	3.40
Striking Accuracy	41%	34%

Regarding grappling, Trey Ogden is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.67 times per 3 rds. Ogden is finishing his takedown attempts on 14% of his attempts and defending 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Motta is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and defending 85% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Ogden is the more capable fighter by going for 0.7 finishes per 3 rds while Motta goes for 0.2 finishes per 15 min.

Get all of our UFC Picks Today

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Trey Ogden went up against Ignacio Bahamondes and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Bahamondes landed 99 of 200 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Ogden finished this fight landing 42 of 109 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Bahamondes ended up landing 99 of 200, giving him a percentage of 49%. He ended up landing 28 of 88 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Ogden landed 38% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 42 of 109. Of those significant strikes, he was 24 of 81 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Bahamondes and 100% of them landed by Ogden were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Nikolas Motta, he faced off with Manuel Torres and took a loss on the night by an elbow to the head in round 1. Torres ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Motta ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Motta ended up connecting on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 7 of 14. He landed 3 of 10 significant strikes to the head. Torres connected on 13 of 17 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 3 of 7 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Torres connected on 13 of 17 while Motta was 7 of 14 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Charles Johnson squares up against Rafael Estevam. Johnson will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-5-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The switch fighter has an arm span of 70". Estevam measures in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-0-0. The 27-year-old reaches 69". In terms of takedowns, Charles Johnson is averaging a takedown 0.23 times per 15 min while Rafael Estevam takes his opponents down 4.04 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Johnson connects on 4.23 strikes/minute and landing 52% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Rafael Estevam, who is landing 80% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 6.47 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Amanda Ribas is set to go up against Luana Pinheiro. Pinheiro has a record of 11-1-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures 5'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 62". Ribas stands in at 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to her total of 11-4-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 66". When it comes to takedowns, Luana Pinheiro is able to thwart 50% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 50% of the times she tries. Ribas is taking her opponents to the mat on 53% of her tries and defends against 88% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Pinheiro is taking 3.67 strikes per min while she lands 3.86 per min. Ribas, at the same time, is absorbing 3.24 strikes/min and is landing 4.73 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Trey Ogden (+114)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	November 22, 2024 @ 6:10 PM
Expert:	Tony George
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Trey Ogden vs Nikolas Motta Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks