Tony Ferguson vs Paddy Pimblett Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 12/12/2023

Tony Ferguson vs Paddy Pimblett

UFC 296

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 16, 2023

Tony Ferguson will face off against Paddy Pimblett at UFC 296 on Saturday, December 16, 2023. The odds have Ferguson at +240 while Pimblett is coming in at -298.

Tony "El Cucuy" Ferguson will be looking to add a win to his career total of 26-9-0. The 39-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Paddy "The Baddy" Pimblett measures in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 20-3-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Tony Ferguson is connecting on 4.98 per minute while Paddy Pimblett connects on 4.19 significant strikes per minute. Ferguson lands 45% of the significant strikes he throws while Pimblett lands 46%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "El Cucuy" allows 4.26 significant strikes per min while "The Baddy" absorbs 3.48. Ferguson also defends against 56% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Pimblett defends against 41% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Tony Ferguson ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 296	Tony Ferguson	Paddy Pimblett
Opening Odds	+240	-298
Record	26-9-0	20-3-0
Average Fight Time	11:29	7:45
Height	5'11"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	76"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.98	4.19
Striking Accuracy	45%	46%

In the wrestling category, Tony Ferguson is not as effective of a grappler as he scores a takedown 0.42 times per 3 rounds. Ferguson is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of the times he tries and is defending 66% of all takedown attempts. Pimblett is getting his opponent to the mat on 25% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Ferguson is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.9 finishes per 3 rds while Pimblett goes for 2.4 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Tony Ferguson went up against Bobby Green and ended up walking away in defeat by way of an arm triangle from half guard in round 3. Green ended up landing 145 of 227 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Ferguson ended the night having landed 62 of 138 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Green landed 137 of 217, giving him a percentage of 63%. He finished the fight landing 95 of 166 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Ferguson ended up landing 43% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 54 of 123. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 38 of 98 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Green and 92% of them landed by Ferguson were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Paddy Pimblett, he fought Jared Gordon and wound up taking home the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Gordon ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Pimblett connected on 85% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Pimblett ended up connecting on 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 63 of 155. He ended up landing 33 of 122 significant strikes to the head. Gordon ended up connecting on 60 of 103 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 32 of 62 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Gordon ended up landing 100 of 143 and Pimblett was 97 of 194 total strikes.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Vicente Luque encounters Ian Garry. Luque comes into this bout with a mark of 22-9-1. The 32-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Garry stands in at 6'3" and records a weight of 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-0-0. The 26-year-old stretches 74". In terms of takedowns, Vicente Luque takes his opponents to the mat 1.04 times per 15 min while Ian Garry gets a takedown 0.67 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Luque tags his opponents 5.17 strikes/minute and lands 52% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Ian Garry, who is connecting on 56% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 6.67 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Bryce Mitchell is set to go up against Josh Emmett. Emmett steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-4-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Mitchell stands 5'10" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 16-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 70". Concerning grappling, Josh Emmett prevents 46% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 37% of his tries. Mitchell is finishing his takedowns on 41% of the tries he takes and curbs 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Emmett absorbs 4.66 strikes per min while he is landing 4.07 strikes per minute. Mitchell, moreover, absorbs 1.64 strikes/min and connects on 2.34 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Paddy Pimblett (-298)

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Tony Ferguson vs Paddy Pimblett Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

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