Tim Means vs Andre Fialho Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/18/2023

Tim Means vs Andre Fialho

UFC Vegas 79

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 23, 2023

Tim Means will face off with Andre Fialho at UFC Vegas 79 on Saturday, September 23, 2023. The moneyline has Means at +154 while Fialho is coming in at -185.

Tim "The Dirty Bird" Means looks to add a victory to his total of 32-15-1 (1 NC). The 39-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Andre Fialho stands in at 6'0" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 16-7-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old stretches 74". With respect to significant strikes, Tim Means connects on 4.93 per minute while Andre Fialho lands 3.02 significant strikes per minute. Means lands 47% of the significant strikes he tries and Fialho lands 39%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Dirty Bird" absorbs 3.61 significant strikes per min while Fialho allows 5.59. Means also thwarts 60% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Fialho curbs 50% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Tim Means predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 79	Tim Means	Andre Fialho
Opening Odds	+154	-185
Record	32-15-1 (1 NC)	16-7-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	10:05	8:19
Height	6'2"	6'0"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	74"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.93	3.02
Striking Accuracy	47%	39%

In the wrestling category, Tim Means is the more efficient grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.21 times per 15 minutes. Means is getting his opponent to the mat on 44% of his tries and is stopping 65% of all takedown tries against him. Fialho is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 60% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Means is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Fialho looks to get 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Tim Means went up against Alex Morono and ended up taking the loss via guillotine choke in round 2. Morono landed 42 of 102 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Means ended the night having landed 45 of 92 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Morono landed 33 of 92, which gave him a percentage of 35%. He ended up landing 29 of 86 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Means ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by landing 40 of 87. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 16 of 52 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Morono and 75% of them landed by Means were done at distance.

In the last bout for Andre Fialho, he fought Joaquin Buckley and walked away with a loss by a kick to the head in round 2. Buckley ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Fialho ended up connecting on 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Fialho landed 43% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 22 of 51. He ended up landing 14 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Buckley connected on 26 of 89 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 12 of 66 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes thrown, Buckley ended up landing 27 of 90 while Fialho landed 22 of 51 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Jacob Malkoun opposes Cody Brundage. Malkoun comes into this bout with a mark of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 185 lbs and measures 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 73". Brundage measures 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 8-5-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". In terms of takedowns, Jacob Malkoun is able to score a takedown 7.46 times per 3 rds while Cody Brundage takes his opponents down 2.42 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Malkoun tags his opponents 3.70 strikes/minute and connecting on 55% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Cody Brundage, who connects on 54% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 1.79 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Jake Collier is set to square up with Mohammed Usman. Usman steps into the Octagon with a record of 10-2-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 239 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Collier stands 6'3" and is fighting at 230 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 13-9-0. The 34-year-old stretches 78". In terms of grappling, Mohammed Usman is able to thwart 15% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 15% of his attempts. Collier is taking his opponents down on 33% of his tries and deflects 67% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Usman takes 2.62 strikes/min and he lands 0.92 strikes per minute. Collier, on the other hand, is absorbing 5.01 strikes per minute and is connecting on 5.81 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Andre Fialho (-185)

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Tim Means vs Andre Fialho Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

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