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Tagir Ulanbekov vs Cody Durden Pick, 12/16/2023 Predictions UFC 296 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/12/2023

Tagir Ulanbekov vs Cody Durden

UFC 296

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 16, 2023

Tagir Ulanbekov will take on Cody Durden at UFC 296 on Saturday, December 16, 2023. The opening line has Ulanbekov at -170 while Durden is coming in at +142.

Tagir Ulanbekov comes into this fight holding a mark of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Cody Durden measures in at 5'7" and weighs 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-4-1. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 67". Regarding significant strikes, Tagir Ulanbekov lands 3.35 per minute while Cody Durden is connecting on 3.13 significant strikes per min. Ulanbekov connects on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts while Durden is landing 49%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Ulanbekov allows 3.29 significant strikes per minute while Durden absorbs 2.94. Ulanbekov also defends against 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Durden prevents 52% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Tagir Ulanbekov ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 296 Tagir Ulanbekov Cody Durden
Opening Odds -170 +142
Record 14-2-0 16-4-1
Average Fight Time 11:48 10:03
Height 5'7" 5'7"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 70" 67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.35 3.13
Striking Accuracy 44% 49%

 

When it comes to grappling, Tagir Ulanbekov is not as effective of a wrestler as he gets a takedown 3.81 times per 15 minutes. Ulanbekov is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of his attempts and stopping 61% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Durden is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of the takedowns he tries and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Ulanbekov is the more skilled technician by attempting 0.9 submissions per 3 rds while Durden tries 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.

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The last time he fought, Tagir Ulanbekov fought Nate Maness and took home the win by way of a guillotine choke in round 1. Maness ended up landing 23 of 30 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Ulanbekov walked away from this fight having landed 9 of 14 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Maness ended up landing 4 of 10, which means his percentage was 40%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 8 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Ulanbekov landed 44% of his significant strikes by connecting on 4 of 9. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 8 to the head. 75% of the significant strikes landed by Maness and 50% of them connected on by Ulanbekov were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Cody Durden, he fought Jake Hadley and ended up getting the victory in the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Hadley connected on 88% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Durden ended up landing 78% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Durden ended up landing 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 38 of 85. He ended up landing 23 of 66 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hadley connected on 26 of 83 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 12 of 61 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Hadley ended up connecting on 45 of 106 and Durden ended up landing 63 of 122 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Andre Fili fights Lucas Almeida. Fili steps into the Octagon with a mark of 22-10-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Almeida measures in at 5'11" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 14-2-0. The 32-year-old stretches 71". In terms of takedowns, Andre Fili takes his opponents to the mat 2.22 times per 3 rounds and Lucas Almeida scores a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Fili is connecting on 3.83 strikes/minute and lands 37% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Lucas Almeida, who is connecting on 47% of the strikes he attempts and lands 5.29 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Shamil Gaziev is set to enter the Octagon with Martin Buday. Buday walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-1-0. The 32-year-old records a weight of 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Gaziev measures in at 6'4" and tips the scales at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 11-0-0. The 33-year-old reaches 78". Regarding wrestling, Martin Buday defends against 85% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his attempts. Gaziev is finishing his takedowns on 15% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 15% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Buday is absorbing 5.40 strikes per minute and he is landing 5.62 per minute. Gaziev, on the contrary, absorbs 0.00 strikes/min and lands 1.52 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tagir Ulanbekov (-170)

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