Steve Garcia vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 12/9/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 83 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 12/6/2023

Steve Garcia vs Melquizael Costa

UFC Vegas 83

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, December 9, 2023

Steve Garcia will enter the Octagon with Melquizael Costa at UFC Vegas 83 on Saturday, December 9, 2023. The moneyline has Garcia at +225 while Costa is at -275.

Steve "Mean Machine" Garcia steps into the cage with a mark of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Melquizael "Melk Cauthy" Costa measures 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 20-6-0. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding significant strikes, Steve Garcia is landing 4.85 per minute while Melquizael Costa is landing 5.11 significant strikes per minute. Garcia lands 56% of the significant strikes he tries while Costa connects on 45%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Mean Machine" allows 2.61 significant strikes per min while "Melk Cauthy" absorbs 2.53. Garcia also curbs 46% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Costa curbs 64% of them.

ufc picks Steve Garcia predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 83	Steve Garcia	Melquizael Costa
Opening Odds	+225	-275
Record	14-5-0	20-6-0
Average Fight Time	5:41	12:03
Height	6'0"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	75"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.85	5.11
Striking Accuracy	56%	45%

Concerning wrestling, Steve Garcia is the lesser skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.51 times per 15 min. Garcia is taking his opponents to the canvas on 44% of his tries and stopping 94% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Costa is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 42% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Garcia is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes while Costa looks to get 0.6 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his previous bout, Steve Garcia went up against Shayilan Nuerdanbieke and wound up getting the victory via a punch to the body in round 2. Nuerdanbieke landed 31 of 63 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Garcia finished this fight landing 50 of 77 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Nuerdanbieke landed 18 of 35, giving him a percentage of 51%. He landed 15 of 31 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Garcia ended up landing 42% of his significant strikes by connecting on 17 of 40. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 14 of 37 aimed at the head. 44% of the significant strikes landed by Nuerdanbieke and 70% of them connected on by Garcia were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Melquizael Costa, he squared up with Austin Lingo and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Lingo connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Costa ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Costa landed 45% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 100 of 220. He ended up connecting on 39 of 133 significant strikes to the head. Lingo connected on 39 of 139 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 24 of 114 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Lingo ended up connecting on 39 of 140 while Costa connected on 108 of 236 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Luana Santos encounters Stephanie Egger. Santos comes into this fight with a record of 6-1-0. The 23-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Egger comes in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 8-4-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 68". In terms of takedowns, Luana Santos is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes while Stephanie Egger takes her opponents to the canvas 3.04 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Santos is landing 17.10 strikes per minute and lands 60% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side of the cage we have Stephanie Egger, who is landing 53% of the strikes she has thrown and is landing 1.93 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Talita Alencar is set to take on Rayanne dos Santos. dos Santos steps into the Octagon with a mark of 14-6-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and measures 5'2". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 62". Alencar measures 5'1" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a mark of 4-0-1. The 33-year-old extends her reach 58". Concerning wrestling, Rayanne dos Santos stops 15% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 25% of her tries. Alencar is taking her opponents down on 16% of her tries and is able to deflect 15% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, dos Santos is taking 6.87 strikes per min and she is dealing 3.67 strikes per min. Alencar, notwithstanding, is absorbing 5.80 strikes/min and is dealing 2.33 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Steve Garcia (+225)

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Steve Garcia vs Melquizael Costa Pick, 12/9/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 83 Odds

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