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Stephen Thompson vs Michel Pereira Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/24/2023

Stephen Thompson vs Michel Pereira

UFC 291

Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

Saturday, July 29, 2023

Stephen Thompson will take on Michel Pereira at UFC 291 on Saturday, July 29, 2023. The opening odds have Thompson coming in at -170 while Pereira is at +145.

Stephen "Wonderboy" Thompson will be looking to add a victory to his total of 17-6-1. The 40-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Michel "Demolidor" Pereira stands in at 6'1" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 28-11-0 (2 NC). The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Stephen Thompson is connecting on 4.20 per minute and Michel Pereira is connecting on 5.09 significant strikes per min. Thompson connects on 45% of the significant strikes he throws and Pereira is connecting on 54%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Wonderboy" takes 3.04 significant strikes per minute and "Demolidor" allows 3.78. Thompson also stops 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him and Pereira thwarts 58% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Stephen Thompson ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 291 Stephen Thompson Michel Pereira
Opening Odds -170 +145
Record 17-6-1 28-11-0 (2 NC)
Average Fight Time 14:51 13:04
Height 6'0" 6'1"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 75" 73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.20 5.09
Striking Accuracy 45% 54%

 

In the category of takedowns, Stephen Thompson is the not as competent as a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.27 times per 3 rds. Thompson is scoring a takedown on 41% of his attempts and stuffing 64% of all takedown tries against him. Pereira is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of his takedown tries and is defending 94% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Thompson is less apt at going for the finish by trying 0.3 finishes per 15 minutes while Pereira goes for 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he fought, Stephen Thompson went up against Kevin Holland and took home the victory by corner stoppage in round 4. Holland landed 123 of 214 total strikes attempted in that fight. Thompson ended the night having landed 178 of 278 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Holland ended up landing 119 of 210, which gave him a rate of 56%. He ended up landing 52 of 131 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Thompson ended up landing 62% of his significant strikes by sticking 163 of 260. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 103 of 192 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Holland and 92% of them connected on by Thompson were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Michel Pereira, he went up against Santiago Ponzinibbio and ended up getting the victory by split decision in round 3. Ponzinibbio ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Pereira landed 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Pereira ended up landing 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 110 of 216. He ended up connecting on 52 of 143 significant strikes directed at the head. Ponzinibbio connected on 105 of 220 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he landed 78 of 185 directed at the head. Regarding the strikes he fired off in this contest, Ponzinibbio connected on 106 of 221 and Pereira ended up connecting on 110 of 216 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Tony Ferguson opposes Bobby Green. Ferguson has a career mark of 26-8-0. The 39-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Green stands 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 29-14-1 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has an arm span of 71". In terms of takedowns, Tony Ferguson is able to score a takedown 0.44 times per 3 rds and Bobby Green takes his opponents to the canvas 1.28 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Ferguson connects for an average of 5.07 strikes/min and landing 45% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Bobby Green, who is connecting on 51% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 5.97 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kevin Holland is set to enter the Octagon with Michael Chiesa. Chiesa walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 18-6-0. The 35-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter reaches 75". Holland stands in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 24-9-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 81". When it comes to takedowns, Michael Chiesa deflects 60% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents to the mat on 54% of his tries. Holland is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Chiesa absorbs 1.67 strikes/minute and he lands 1.88 strikes/minute. Holland, on the contrary, is taking 2.98 strikes/min and is landing 4.12 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Stephen Thompson (-170)

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