Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 1/17/2023

ufc picks Jailton Almeida Jailton Almeida ufcpredictions best bet odds

Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Jailton Almeida

UFC 283

Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Saturday, January 21, 2023

Shamil Abdurakhimov will battle Jailton Almeida at UFC 283 on Saturday, January 21, 2023. The opening moneyline has Abdurakhimov coming in at +625 while Almeida is priced at -900.

Shamil "Abrek" Abdurakhimov holds a mark of 20-7-0. The 41-year-old tips the scales at 235 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Jailton "Malhadinho" Almeida stands in at 6'3" and is weighing in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 17-2-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 79". Concerning significant strikes, Shamil Abdurakhimov connects on 2.60 per min and Jailton Almeida connects on 3.56 significant strikes per minute. Abdurakhimov lands 44% of the significant strikes he throws and Almeida is landing 57%. In terms of defending themselves, "Abrek" allows 2.80 significant strikes per minute while "Malhadinho" allows 0.43. Abdurakhimov also defends against 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Almeida is able to curb 11% of the shots thrown his way.

UFC 283	Shamil Abdurakhimov	Jailton Almeida
Opening Odds	+625	-900
Record	20-7-0	17-2-0
Average Fight Time	9:37	4:42
Height	6'3"	6'3"
Weight	235 lbs	205 lbs
Reach	76"	79"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.60	3.56
Striking Accuracy	44%	57%

Concerning wrestling, Shamil Abdurakhimov is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.09 times per 3 rounds. Abdurakhimov is getting his opponent to the mat on 23% of his tries and thwarting 47% of all takedowns attempted on him. Almeida is scoring a takedown on 75% of his takedown attempts and stopping 50% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Abdurakhimov is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.2 subs per 3 rds while Almeida tries 3.2 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Shamil Abdurakhimov squared up with Sergei Pavlovich and ended up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Pavlovich ended up landing 22 of 48 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Abdurakhimov walked away from this fight having landed 17 of 34 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Pavlovich ended up landing 21 of 47, giving him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 21 of 46 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Abdurakhimov ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by sticking 17 of 34. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 4 of 16 aimed at the head. 28% of the significant strikes landed by Pavlovich and 100% of them landed by Abdurakhimov were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jailton Almeida, he went up against Anton Turkalj and wound up getting the win via rear naked choke in round 1. Turkalj landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Almeida ended up connecting on 0% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Almeida landed 70% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 17 of 24. He connected on 17 of 22 significant strikes aimed at the head. Turkalj ended up landing 1 of 1 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 0 of 0 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Turkalj was 19 of 22 and Almeida ended up landing 23 of 31 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Ismael Bonfim squares up in the Octagon against Terrance McKinney. Bonfim will be looking to add a victory to his record of 18-3-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 71". McKinney measures in at 5'10" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter has a record of 13-4-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". When it comes to grappling, Ismael Bonfim takes his opponents down 1.00 times per 3 rounds while Terrance McKinney takes his opponents down 5.11 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Bonfim connects on 5.67 strikes per minute and connecting on 53% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Terrance McKinney, who is connecting on 56% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 4.70 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Nicolas Dalby is set to face off against Warlley Alves. Alves comes into this bout with a mark of 15-5-0. The 32-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Dalby stands in at 5'11" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 20-4-1 (2 NC). The 38-year-old extends his reach 74". Regarding takedowns, Warlley Alves is preventing 78% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of the times he tries. Dalby is finishing his takedown tries on 31% of the attempts he tries and prevents 65% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Alves takes 3.63 strikes/min while he lands 3.07 strikes/minute. Dalby, moreover, takes 3.22 strikes per minute and is landing 3.22 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Jailton Almeida (-900)

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Shamil Abdurakhimov vs Jailton Almeida Pick, 1/21/2023 Predictions UFC 283 Odds

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