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Sean Brady vs Kelvin Gastelum Pick, 12/2/2023 Predictions UFC Austin Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/27/2023

Sean Brady vs Kelvin Gastelum

UFC Austin

Moody Center in Austin, TX

Saturday, December 2, 2023

Sean Brady will face off against Kelvin Gastelum at UFC Austin on Saturday, December 2, 2023. The odds have Brady priced at -130 while Gastelum is at +110.

Sean Brady steps into the Octagon with a mark of 15-1-0. The 31-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Kelvin Gastelum stands 5'9" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 18-8-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 71". In the category of significant strikes, Sean Brady is connecting on 4.17 per min while Kelvin Gastelum lands 3.63 significant strikes per minute. Brady is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempts and Gastelum lands 41%. In terms of defending in the cage, Brady takes 3.86 significant strikes per minute and Gastelum allows 3.31. Brady also stops 62% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Gastelum is able to stop 58% of them.

ufc picks Sean Brady ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Austin Sean Brady Kelvin Gastelum
Opening Odds -130 +110
Record 15-1-0 18-8-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 12:30 13:38
Height 5'10" 5'9"
Weight 170 lbs 170 lbs
Reach 72" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.17 3.63
Striking Accuracy 53% 41%

 

In the wrestling category, Sean Brady is the better wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.80 times per 15 min. Brady is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries and is stopping 87% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Gastelum is taking his opponents down on 30% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 62% of the tries against him. Regarding sub attempts, Brady is the more skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.8 finishes per 15 min while Gastelum tries 0.1 finishes per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Sean Brady went up against Belal Muhammad and took a loss on the night by a punch to the head in round 2. Muhammad ended up landing 80 of 209 total strikes attempted in that fight. Brady walked away from this fight having landed 58 of 118 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Muhammad landed 80 of 209, which gave him a rate of 38%. He landed 64 of 183 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Brady landed 49% of his significant strikes by sticking 58 of 118. Of those significant strikes, he landed 40 of 98 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes landed by Muhammad and 98% of them connected on by Brady were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Kelvin Gastelum, he faced off with Chris Curtis and wound up taking home the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Curtis landed 90% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Gastelum ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gastelum landed 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 83 of 188. He connected on 63 of 161 significant strikes to the head. Curtis ended up connecting on 70 of 201 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 44 of 164 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Curtis connected on 80 of 216 while Gastelum ended up connecting on 88 of 195 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Punahele Soriano squares up against Dustin Stoltzfus. Soriano looks to add a win to his record of 9-3-0. The 31-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 72". Stoltzfus stands in at 6'0" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-5-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding grappling, Punahele Soriano gets a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rounds while Dustin Stoltzfus is averaging a takedown 1.76 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Soriano is connecting on 4.04 strikes per min and is connecting on 45% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Dustin Stoltzfus, who tags the opposition on 41% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 2.96 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Joaquim Silva is set to battle Clay Guida. Guida walks into the cage with a record of 38-20-0. The 41-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 70". Silva stands 5'8" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 12-5-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 69". In terms of grappling, Clay Guida prevents 69% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 36% of his attempts. Silva is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his tries and defends against 58% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Guida absorbs 3.01 strikes per minute and he is landing 2.63 per minute. Silva, on the other hand, absorbs 4.79 strikes/min and lands 3.71 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Kelvin Gastelum (+110)

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