Said Nurmagomedov vs Jonathan Martinez Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds
Said Nurmagomedov vs Jonathan Martinez
UFC Las Vegas
The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, NV
Saturday, March 11, 2023
Said Nurmagomedov will enter the Octagon against Jonathan Martinez at UFC Las Vegas on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The opening odds have Nurmagomedov coming in at -225 while Martinez is coming in at +175.
Said Nurmagomedov looks to add a win to his career record of 17-2-0. The 30-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 70". Jonathan "Dragon" Martinez stands 5'8" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a record of 17-4-0. The 28-year-old stretches 70". In the category of significant strikes, Said Nurmagomedov is landing 3.64 per minute while Jonathan Martinez lands 4.84 significant strikes per minute. Nurmagomedov is connecting on 45% of the significant strikes he attempts while Martinez is landing 49%. Regarding defense, Nurmagomedov takes 2.05 significant strikes per min while "Dragon" takes 3.88. Nurmagomedov also stops 61% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Martinez stops 58% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Las Vegas | Said Nurmagomedov | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -225 | +175 |
| Record | 17-2-0 | 17-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:17 | 13:23 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 70" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.64 | 4.84 |
| Striking Accuracy | 45% | 49% |
In the wrestling category, Said Nurmagomedov is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.52 times per 3 rds. Nurmagomedov is finishing his takedown attempts on 9% of the times he tries and defending 63% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Martinez is finishing his takedowns on 45% of his takedown tries and defending 70% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Nurmagomedov is the more skilled technician by attempting 1.0 sub per 3 rds while Martinez looks to get 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds.
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In his last bout, Said Nurmagomedov faced Saidyokub Kakhramonov and ended up getting the victory in the fight by guillotine choke in round 2. Kakhramonov landed 32 of 65 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Nurmagomedov walked away from this fight having landed 21 of 34 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Kakhramonov ended up landing 11 of 30, which gave him a rate of 36%. He landed 8 of 27 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nurmagomedov ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 7 of 18. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 3 of 12 pointed at the head. 45% of the significant strikes connected on by Kakhramonov and 42% of them connected on by Nurmagomedov were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Jonathan Martinez, he battled Cub Swanson and wound up getting the victory by a kick to the leg at distance in round 2. Swanson ended up connecting on 94% of his significant strikes at distance while Martinez ended up landing 59% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Martinez landed 60% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 62 of 102. He connected on 40 of 77 significant strikes directed at the head. Swanson connected on 51 of 79 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 10 of 35 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Swanson ended up connecting on 60 of 88 while Martinez ended up landing 66 of 106 total strikes.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Vitor Petrino meets Anton Turkalj. Petrino steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-0-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 77". Turkalj stands in at 6'4" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 8-1-0. The 26-year-old reaches 78". Regarding grappling, Vitor Petrino takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 15 minutes and Anton Turkalj takes his opponents to the canvas 8.48 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Petrino connects on 4.88 strikes/min and lands 50% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Anton Turkalj, who tags his opponent on 57% of the strikes he has tried and lands 1.13 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Lukasz Brzeski is set to square up in the Octagon with Karl Williams. Williams will be looking to add a win to his career record of 7-1-0. The 33-year-old weighs 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Brzeski stands 6'4" and will fight at 236 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 8-2-1 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has an arm span of 78". Concerning wrestling, Karl Williams is able to thwart 15% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 85% of the times he tries. Brzeski is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his attempts and is able to defend against 85% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Williams absorbs 0.07 strikes/min while he dishes out 1.60 strikes per min. Brzeski, in contrast, is taking 3.78 strikes/min and is dishing out 6.86 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take Said Nurmagomedov (-225)
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