Rodrigo Nascimento vs Don'Tale Mayes Pick, 11/4/2023 Predictions UFC Sao Paulo Odds
Rodrigo Nascimento vs Don'Tale Mayes
UFC Sao Paulo
Ibirapuera Gymnasium in Sao Paulo, Brazil
Saturday, November 4, 2023
Rodrigo Nascimento will battle Don'Tale Mayes at UFC Sao Paulo on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The line has Nascimento coming in at -185 while Mayes is priced at +154.
Rodrigo "Ze Colmeia" Nascimento looks to add a win to his total of 10-1-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old weighs in at 246 lbs and comes in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Don'Tale "Lord Kong" Mayes stands in at 6'6" and is weighing in at 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 10-5-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old has an arm span of 81". When talking about significant strikes, Rodrigo Nascimento lands 4.20 per minute while Don'Tale Mayes connects on 3.39 significant strikes per min. Nascimento connects on 49% of the significant strikes he throws and Mayes lands 43%. In terms of defending in the cage, "Ze Colmeia" absorbs 4.60 significant strikes per minute while "Lord Kong" allows 3.73. Nascimento also prevents 40% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Mayes thwarts 44% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Sao Paulo | Rodrigo Nascimento | Don'Tale Mayes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -185 | +154 |
| Record | 10-1-0 (1 NC) | 10-5-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 7:56 | 11:45 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'6" |
| Weight | 246 lbs | 260 lbs |
| Reach | 80" | 81" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.20 | 3.39 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 43% |
When it comes to wrestling, Rodrigo Nascimento is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.58 times per 15 minutes. Nascimento is scoring a takedown on 41% of the times he tries and stopping 75% of all takedown attempts. Mayes is taking his opponents down on 46% of the takedowns he attempts and is stuffing 56% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Nascimento is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.9 finishes per 15 min while Mayes attempts 0.4 finishes per 15 minutes.
Get all of our UFC Expert Picks
The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Rodrigo Nascimento faced Ilir Latifi and ended up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Latifi landed 76 of 105 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Nascimento ended the night having landed 76 of 160 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Latifi landed 49 of 77, which means his percentage was 63%. He ended up landing 20 of 42 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Nascimento ended up landing 44% of his significant strikes by sticking 68 of 152. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 51 of 122 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Latifi and 89% of them landed by Nascimento were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Don'Tale Mayes, he faced off with Andrei Arlovski and ended up winning this fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Arlovski ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Mayes ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Mayes landed 28% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 25 of 87. He ended up landing 14 of 58 significant strikes aimed at the head. Arlovski landed 24 of 56 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 10 of 36 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Arlovski connected on 26 of 58 and Mayes ended up connecting on 28 of 91 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other bouts to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Caio Borralho takes on Abus Magomedov. Borralho comes into this fight with a record of 14-1-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 75". Magomedov comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 25-5-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 78". In the grappling category, Caio Borralho is averaging a takedown 2.63 times per 3 rds while Abus Magomedov scores a takedown 1.55 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Borralho is landing 2.59 strikes/min and landing 61% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Abus Magomedov, who is landing 50% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 5.60 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Armen Petrosyan is set to take on Rodolfo Vieira. Vieira holds a mark of 9-2-0. The 34-year-old weighs 185 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Petrosyan comes in at 6'3" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-2-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 71". Regarding wrestling, Rodolfo Vieira is able to stop 85% of the takedowns his opponents try and is finishing his takedown tries on 26% of his attempts. Petrosyan is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the attempts he tries and is able to deflect 36% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With reference to striking, Vieira is absorbing 4.84 strikes/minute and he connects on 3.36 per min. Petrosyan, notwithstanding, is absorbing 3.03 strikes/min and is dealing 5.97 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Rodrigo Nascimento (-185)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Cody Stamann vs Da'Mon Blackshear Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Dusko Todorovic Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Matthew Semelsberger vs Charles Radtke Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Denise Gomes Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Tresean Gore vs Antonio Trocoli Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Gaston Bolanos vs Cortavious Romious Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Neil Magny vs Carlos Prates Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Cody Garbrandt vs Miles Johns Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Ricky Turcios vs Benardo Sopaj Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds
- Luana Pinheiro vs Gillian Robertson Pick, 11/9/2024 Predictions UFC Vegas 100 Odds