Raul Rosas Jr. vs Christian Rodriguez Pick, 4/8/2023 Predictions UFC 287 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/4/2023

Raul Rosas Jr. vs Christian Rodriguez

UFC 287

Miami-Dade Arena in Miami, FL

Saturday, April 8, 2023

Raul Rosas Jr. will face off against Christian Rodriguez at UFC 287 on Saturday, April 8, 2023. The moneyline has Jr. priced at -250 while Rodriguez is coming in at +200.

Raul "El Nino Problema" Rosas Jr. walks into the cage holding a record of 7-0-0. The 18-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 67". Christian Rodriguez stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 8-1-0. The 25-year-old stretches 71". In the category of significant strikes, Raul Rosas Jr. connects on 1.30 per minute while Christian Rodriguez is landing 3.31 significant strikes per min. Rosas Jr. is landing 48% of the significant strikes he tries and Rodriguez is landing 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "El Nino Problema" absorbs 0.90 significant strikes per minute and Rodriguez allows 2.43. Rosas Jr. also stops 33% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Rodriguez deflects 56% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Raul Rosas Jr. ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 287	Raul Rosas Jr.	Christian Rodriguez
Opening Odds	-250	+200
Record	7-0-0	8-1-0
Average Fight Time	8:52	11:22
Height	5'9"	5'7"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	67"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.30	3.31
Striking Accuracy	48%	41%

Concerning wrestling, Raul Rosas Jr. is the more apt grappler as he is able to score a takedown 4.23 times per 3 rds. Rosas Jr. is finishing his takedown attempts on 62% of his tries and is stopping 15% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Rodriguez is taking his opponents to the canvas on 50% of his takedown tries and is stopping 56% of the attempts against him. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Rosas Jr. is the more skilled of the two fighters by trying 2.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Rodriguez attempts 1.8 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous fight, Raul Rosas Jr. squared up with Jay Perrin and took home the victory by a neck crank in round 1. Perrin landed 4 of 8 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Jr. finished this fight landing 9 of 14 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Perrin ended up landing 4 of 8, which gave him a rate of 50%. He ended up landing 3 of 7 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Jr. landed 42% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 3 of 7. Of those significant strikes, he was 2 of 5 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Perrin and 100% of them landed by Jr. were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Christian Rodriguez, he squared up with Joshua Weems and took home the win by way of an anaconda choke in round 1. Weems ended up landing 66% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Rodriguez connected on 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Rodriguez ended up landing 39% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 9 of 23. He ended up connecting on 8 of 21 significant strikes aimed at the head. Weems ended up landing 18 of 26 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up connecting on 9 of 15 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Weems ended up connecting on 22 of 32 and Rodriguez was 15 of 30 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Chris Curtis opposes Kelvin Gastelum. Curtis walks into the Octagon with a mark of 30-9-0. The 35-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Gastelum comes in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 17-8-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 71". In terms of takedowns, Chris Curtis takes his opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 3 rds while Kelvin Gastelum gets a takedown 1.05 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Curtis is landing 5.82 strikes per min and is landing 56% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Kelvin Gastelum, who is connecting on 41% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 3.53 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Joe Pyfer is set to face off against Gerald Meerschaert. Meerschaert holds a record of 35-15-0. The 35-year-old will fight at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 77". Pyfer stands in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old has a reach of 75". In the category of takedowns, Gerald Meerschaert prevents 29% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 37% of his attempts. Pyfer is taking his opponents down on 85% of his tries and defends against 50% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Meerschaert is absorbing 3.45 strikes per minute while he is dealing 3.11 strikes per minute. Pyfer, in contrast, is absorbing 2.55 strikes/min and is connecting on 3.49 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Raul Rosas Jr. (-250)

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Raul Rosas Jr. vs Christian Rodriguez Pick, 4/8/2023 Predictions UFC 287 Odds

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