Raphael Assuncao vs Davey Grant Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/7/2023

Raphael Assuncao vs Davey Grant

UFC Las Vegas

The Theater at Virgin Hotels in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, March 11, 2023

Raphael Assuncao will face off with Davey Grant at UFC Las Vegas on Saturday, March 11, 2023. The odds have Assuncao priced at +120 while Grant is priced at -145.

Raphael Assuncao will be looking to add a win to his career record of 28-9-0. The 40-year-old is fighting at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Davey "Dangerous" Grant measures 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 14-6-0. The 37-year-old has a reach of 69". In the category of significant strikes, Raphael Assuncao connects on 3.24 per minute while Davey Grant connects on 4.83 significant strikes per min. Assuncao lands 41% of the significant strikes he throws and Grant is landing 44%. Regarding defense, Assuncao takes 2.41 significant strikes per min and "Dangerous" absorbs 4.02. Assuncao also thwarts 67% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Grant prevents 56% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Raphael Assuncao predictions best bet odds

UFC Las Vegas	Raphael Assuncao	Davey Grant
Opening Odds	+120	-145
Record	28-9-0	14-6-0
Average Fight Time	12:26	11:16
Height	5'5"	5'8"
Weight	135 lbs	135 lbs
Reach	66"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.24	4.83
Striking Accuracy	41%	44%

In the grappling category, Raphael Assuncao is not as effective of a wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.47 times per 15 minutes. Assuncao is finishing his takedown attempts on 38% of his attempts and thwarting 78% of all takedown tries against him. Grant is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 65% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Assuncao is the more capable of the two fighters by trying 0.3 subs per 15 min while Grant tries 0.1 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Raphael Assuncao fought Victor Henry and ended up getting the victory via unanimous decision in round 3. Henry landed 61 of 134 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Assuncao finished this fight landing 78 of 110 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Henry ended up landing 55 of 126, which gave him a percentage of 43%. He ended up landing 23 of 85 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Assuncao ended up landing 65% of his significant strikes by sticking 60 of 91. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 40 of 65 aimed at the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Henry and 70% of them landed by Assuncao were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Davey Grant, he faced off with Louis Smolka and ended up winning this fight by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Smolka ended up connecting on 94% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Grant connected on 83% of his significant strikes at distance. Grant ended up connecting on 41% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 81 of 197. He ended up landing 36 of 134 significant strikes directed at the head. Smolka ended up connecting on 71 of 139 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 46 of 101 directed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Smolka was 75 of 145 while Grant ended up connecting on 84 of 200 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Sedriques Dumas goes up against Josh Fremd. Dumas will be looking to add a win to his career total of 7-0-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Fremd measures in at 6'4" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 9-4-0. The 29-year-old has a reach of 76". When it comes to grappling, Sedriques Dumas scores a takedown 19.15 times per 15 min and Josh Fremd gets a takedown 0.72 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Dumas is connecting on 2.55 strikes per min and lands 66% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Josh Fremd, who lands 50% of the strikes he has thrown and is connecting on 2.64 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Guido Cannetti is set to battle Mario Bautista. Bautista walks into the cage with a mark of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5'9". The switch fighter has a reach of 69". Cannetti measures 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a career record of 10-7-0. The 43-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding wrestling, Mario Bautista is able to curb 66% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 66% of his tries. Cannetti is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of his attempts and prevents 70% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Bautista absorbs 3.92 strikes per min and he connects on 5.61 strikes per min. Cannetti, notwithstanding, absorbs 2.93 strikes per minute and connects on 3.58 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Davey Grant (-145)

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Raphael Assuncao vs Davey Grant Pick, 3/11/2023 Predictions UFC Las Vegas Odds

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