Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/18/2023

Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot

UFC Vegas 79

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 23, 2023

Rafael Fiziev will face off against Mateusz Gamrot at UFC Vegas 79 on Saturday, September 23, 2023. The opening line has Fiziev priced at -162 while Gamrot is at +136.

Rafael "Ataman" Fiziev has a career record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 71". Mateusz "Gamer" Gamrot stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 22-2-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old reaches 70". In terms of significant strikes, Rafael Fiziev lands 5.06 per min while Mateusz Gamrot connects on 3.03 significant strikes per min. Fiziev connects on 51% of the significant strikes he throws and Gamrot lands 51%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Ataman" allows 5.17 significant strikes per min while "Gamer" takes 3.23. Fiziev also defends against 48% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Gamrot is able to defend against 60% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Rafael Fiziev ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 79	Rafael Fiziev	Mateusz Gamrot
Opening Odds	-162	+136
Record	12-2-0	22-2-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	12:16	12:16
Height	5'8"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	71"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.06	3.03
Striking Accuracy	51%	51%

Regarding wrestling, Rafael Fiziev is not as efficient of a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.31 times per 3 rds. Fiziev is taking his opponents to the canvas on 40% of his tries and stuffing 90% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Gamrot is finishing his takedowns on 31% of his takedown attempts and defending 90% of the attempts against him. When it comes to subbing opponents, Fiziev is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.7 finishes per 3 rds while Gamrot goes for 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Rafael Fiziev went up against Justin Gaethje and ended up losing the fight via majority decision in round 3. Gaethje ended up landing 106 of 174 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Fiziev walked away from this fight having landed 97 of 169 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Gaethje ended up landing 103 of 171, which means his percentage was 60%. He finished the fight landing 81 of 142 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Fiziev ended up landing 57% of his significant strikes by landing 97 of 169. Of those significant strikes, he landed 38 of 100 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes landed by Gaethje and 83% of them landed by Fiziev were done at distance.

In the last bout for Mateusz Gamrot, he squared up with Jalin Turner and wound up getting the win by split decision in round 3. Turner ended up landing 82% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Gamrot connected on 72% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gamrot ended up connecting on 69% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 29 of 42. He connected on 18 of 30 significant strikes directed at the head. Turner landed 40 of 97 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he landed 23 of 72 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Turner ended up connecting on 62 of 119 while Gamrot landed 89 of 109 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Bryce Mitchell goes up against Dan Ige. Mitchell will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-2-0. The 28-year-old weighs 145 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Ige measures 5'7" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old reaches 71". Regarding grappling, Bryce Mitchell gets his opposition to the mat 3.26 times per 3 rounds while Dan Ige takes his opponents to the mat 1.15 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Mitchell lands 2.48 strikes per minute and is landing 59% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Dan Ige, who tags his opponent on 45% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 3.96 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when AJ Fletcher is set to fight Bryan Battle. Battle holds a career mark of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 77". Fletcher measures 5'10" and will fight at 170 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 10-2-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 67". In terms of wrestling, Bryan Battle is able to defend against 38% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 20% of his attempts. Fletcher is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 28% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Battle is absorbing 4.00 strikes/min and he is dealing 4.47 strikes per min. Fletcher, in contrast, is absorbing 4.59 strikes per minute and lands 3.54 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Rafael Fiziev (-162)

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Rafael Fiziev vs Mateusz Gamrot Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

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