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Nathaniel Wood vs Muhammad Naimov Pick, 10/21/2023 Predictions UFC 294 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 10/17/2023

Nathaniel Wood vs Muhammad Naimov

UFC 294

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 21, 2023

Nathaniel Wood will take on Muhammad Naimov at UFC 294 on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The odds have Wood coming in at -325 while Naimov is priced at +260.

Nathaniel "The Prospect" Wood has a career record of 20-5-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Muhammad "Hillman" Naimov stands in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old reaches 70". In terms of significant strikes, Nathaniel Wood connects on 6.24 per minute and Muhammad Naimov lands 3.48 significant strikes per min. Wood is landing 49% of the significant strikes he attempts while Naimov is landing 40%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "The Prospect" allows 4.35 significant strikes per minute and "Hillman" allows 5.53. Wood also stops 57% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Naimov curbs 44% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Nathaniel Wood ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC 294 Nathaniel Wood Muhammad Naimov
Opening Odds -325 +260
Record 20-5-0 9-2-0
Average Fight Time 12:44 11:30
Height 5'6" 5'9"
Weight 145 lbs 145 lbs
Reach 69" 70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 6.24 3.48
Striking Accuracy 49% 40%

 

Concerning grappling, Nathaniel Wood is the more apt wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.70 times per 15 minutes. Wood is getting his opponent to the mat on 54% of his attempts and is defending 76% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Naimov is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 50% of the attempts against him. In terms of submissions, Wood is the more experienced of the two fighters by attempting 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Naimov goes for 0.2 submissions per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Nathaniel Wood faced Andre Fili and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Fili ended up landing 76 of 179 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Wood finished this fight landing 108 of 174 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Fili ended up landing 58 of 151, which gave him a percentage of 38%. He ended up landing 45 of 134 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Wood landed 56% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 84 of 148. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 38 of 90 aimed at the head. 91% of the significant strikes connected on by Fili and 84% of them connected on by Wood were done at distance.

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In the last fight for Muhammad Naimov, he went up against Jamie Mullarkey and ended up winning this fight by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Mullarkey landed 69% of his significant strikes at distance and Naimov ended up connecting on 71% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Naimov ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 28 of 70. He landed 17 of 56 significant strikes to the head. Mullarkey landed 39 of 71 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 15 of 43 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown, Mullarkey was 40 of 73 while Naimov landed 30 of 72 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Viktoriia Dudakova enters the Octagon against Jinh Yu Frey. Dudakova looks to add a win to her total of 7-0-0. The 24-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and stands 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Yu Frey stands 5'3" and weighs 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 11-9-0. The 38-year-old extends her reach 65". In the grappling category, Viktoriia Dudakova gets a takedown 4.82 times per 15 minutes and Jinh Yu Frey is able to score a takedown 1.02 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Dudakova is landing 1.41 strikes/minute and connecting on 59% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Jinh Yu Frey, who is landing 42% of the strikes she has thrown and is connecting on 2.95 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Alexander Volkanovski is set to encounter Islam Makhachev. Makhachev steps into the Octagon holding a record of 24-1-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Volkanovski measures in at 5'6" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 26-2-0. The 35-year-old has a reach of 71". Concerning grappling, Islam Makhachev deflects 90% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 62% of the times he tries. Volkanovski is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of the tries he takes and stops 69% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Makhachev takes 1.27 strikes/min while he is dishing out 2.35 strikes/min. Volkanovski, in contrast, is absorbing 3.36 strikes per min and connects on 6.25 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Muhammad Naimov (+260)

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