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Nate Maness vs Mateus Mendonca Pick, 10/7/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 80 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/2/2023

Nate Maness vs Mateus Mendonca

UFC Vegas 80

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 7, 2023

Nate Maness will take on Mateus Mendonca at UFC Vegas 80 on Saturday, October 7, 2023. The opening odds have Maness coming in at +190 while Mendonca is coming in at -230.

Nate "Mayhem" Maness walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 14-3-0. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter stretches 72". Mateus "Bocao" Mendonca stands in at 5'6" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 10-1-0. The 24-year-old has a wingspan of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Nate Maness is landing 1.94 per minute and Mateus Mendonca is landing 2.41 significant strikes per min. Maness connects on 42% of the significant strikes he attempts and Mendonca is landing 38%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "Mayhem" absorbs 4.65 significant strikes per min while "Bocao" allows 6.27. Maness also deflects 40% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Mendonca curbs 29% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Nate Maness predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 80 Nate Maness Mateus Mendonca
Opening Odds +190 -230
Record 14-3-0 10-1-0
Average Fight Time 9:22 7:54
Height 5'10" 5'6"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 72" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.94 2.41
Striking Accuracy 42% 38%

 

Regarding wrestling, Nate Maness is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.96 times per 3 rounds. Maness is finishing his takedown attempts on 75% of his attempts and thwarting 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Mendonca is scoring a takedown on 18% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 40% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Maness is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Mendonca goes for 0.5 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Nate Maness squared up with Tagir Ulanbekov and wound up taking the loss by a guillotine choke in round 1. Ulanbekov landed 9 of 14 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Maness ended the night having landed 23 of 30 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ulanbekov ended up landing 4 of 9, giving him a percentage of 44%. He ended up landing 4 of 8 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Maness ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes by landing 4 of 10. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 2 of 8 aimed at the head. 50% of the significant strikes landed by Ulanbekov and 75% of them connected on by Maness were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Mateus Mendonca, he went up against Javid Basharat and wound up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Basharat ended up landing 63% of his significant strikes at distance and Mendonca ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Mendonca connected on 32% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 29 of 88. He ended up connecting on 21 of 72 significant strikes directed at the head. Basharat ended up connecting on 95 of 130 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 62 of 93 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Basharat was 125 of 164 and Mendonca landed 70 of 133 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Karolina Kowalkiewicz faces off with Diana Belbita. Kowalkiewicz looks to add a victory to her career total of 15-7-0. The 37-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 64". Belbita stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 15-7-0. The 27-year-old stretches 68". In the grappling category, Karolina Kowalkiewicz is able to score a takedown 0.31 times per 3 rds and Diana Belbita takes her opponents to the mat 0.72 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Kowalkiewicz connects on 5.65 strikes/minute and landing 42% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Diana Belbita, who connects on 44% of the strikes she has attempted and is connecting on 6.59 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kanako Murata is set to go up against Vanessa Demopoulos. Demopoulos looks to add a win to her record of 9-5-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 59". Murata comes in at 5'1" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 62". In the category of takedowns, Vanessa Demopoulos stops 50% of her opponents takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 13% of her tries. Murata is finishing her takedown tries on 40% of her tries and is able to stop 0% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Demopoulos absorbs 5.61 strikes per minute and she is dealing 3.71 strikes/minute. Murata, on the other side, is taking 2.60 strikes/min and is dishing out 2.08 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Nate Maness (+190)

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