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Natan Levy vs Pete Rodriguez Pick, 4/29/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 72 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/25/2023

Natan Levy vs Pete Rodriguez

UFC Vegas 72

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, April 29, 2023

Natan Levy will enter the Octagon against Pete Rodriguez at UFC Vegas 72 on Saturday, April 29, 2023. The opening line has Levy coming in at -275 while Rodriguez is coming in at +225.

Natan "Lethal" Levy will be looking to add a win to his career total of 8-1-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Pete "Dead Game" Rodriguez measures 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 4-1-0. The 26-year-old stretches 71". In the category of significant strikes, Natan Levy connects on 4.01 per min while Pete Rodriguez connects on 10.37 significant strikes per minute. Levy lands 51% of the significant strikes he tries while Rodriguez is landing 46%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Lethal" allows 3.52 significant strikes per min and "Dead Game" allows 11.69. Levy also defends against 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Rodriguez is able to thwart 44% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Natan Levy predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 72 Natan Levy Pete Rodriguez
Opening Odds -275 +225
Record 8-1-0 4-1-0
Average Fight Time 13:59 2:16
Height 5'9" 5'9"
Weight 155 lbs 155 lbs
Reach 71" 71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.01 10.37
Striking Accuracy 51% 46%

 

Regarding takedowns, Natan Levy is the more productive wrestler as he scores a takedown 5.37 times per 15 min. Levy is getting his opponent to the mat on 57% of his attempts and stopping 41% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Rodriguez is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his takedown attempts and defending 85% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Levy is the more apt fighter by going for 0.5 finishes per 15 minutes while Rodriguez looks to get 0.3 finishes per 15 min.

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In his last fight, Natan Levy went up against Genaro Valdez and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Valdez ended up landing 62 of 173 total strikes attempted in that contest. Levy walked away from this fight having landed 69 of 137 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Valdez ended up landing 49 of 158, which gave him a rate of 31%. He finished the fight landing 26 of 121 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Levy ended up landing 49% of his significant strikes by sticking 67 of 135. Of all the significant strikes, he was 22 of 79 aimed at the head. 83% of the significant strikes connected on by Valdez and 98% of them landed by Levy were tallied at distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Pete Rodriguez, he battled Mike Jackson and took home the victory by way of a knee to the head in round 1. Jackson landed 90% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Rodriguez ended up landing 59% of his significant strikes at distance. Rodriguez landed 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 22 of 33. He ended up connecting on 12 of 23 significant strikes to the head. Jackson ended up connecting on 10 of 15 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 8 of 13 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Jackson landed 11 of 16 while Rodriguez landed 26 of 39 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Cody Durden squares up with Charles Johnson. Durden steps into the cage holding a record of 14-4-1. The 32-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and stands 5'7". The southpaw fighter stretches 67". Johnson comes in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The switch fighter has a career record of 13-4-0. The 32-year-old has a reach of 70". When it comes to grappling, Cody Durden gets a takedown 4.17 times per 15 minutes and Charles Johnson takes his opponents to the canvas 0.30 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Durden tags his opponents 3.13 strikes/minute and lands 49% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Charles Johnson, who lands 53% of the strikes he has attempted and connects on 4.46 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Journey Newson is set to square up against Brian Kelleher. Kelleher steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 24-14-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands 5'6". The switch fighter has a reach of 66". Newson measures 5'5" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 10-4-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old extends his reach 67". When it comes to takedowns, Brian Kelleher is able to stop 60% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents to the mat on 42% of his attempts. Newson is finishing his takedowns on 33% of his tries and thwarts 43% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Kelleher is absorbing 4.61 strikes/minute while he connects on 3.36 strikes/minute. Newson, on the other side, absorbs 2.42 strikes/min and dishes out 2.76 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Pete Rodriguez (+225)

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