Movsar Evloev vs Bryce Mitchell Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/1/2023

Movsar Evloev vs Bryce Mitchell

UFC 288

Prudential Center in Newark, NJ

Saturday, May 6, 2023

Movsar Evloev will battle Bryce Mitchell at UFC 288 on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The opening odds have Evloev priced at -250 while Mitchell is at +200.

Movsar Evloev comes into this bout with a record of 16-0-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 72". Bryce "Thug Nasty" Mitchell stands 5'10" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-2-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 70". Concerning significant strikes, Movsar Evloev lands 4.36 per min while Bryce Mitchell lands 2.48 significant strikes per minute. Evloev is connecting on 46% of the significant strikes he attempts and Mitchell is connecting on 59%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, Evloev takes 2.79 significant strikes per min and "Thug Nasty" allows 1.71. Evloev also stops 63% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Mitchell is able to defend against 57% of them.

ufc picks Movsar Evloev ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 288	Movsar Evloev	Bryce Mitchell
Opening Odds	-250	+200
Record	16-0-0	15-2-0
Average Fight Time	15:00	12:30
Height	5'7"	5'10"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	72"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.36	2.48
Striking Accuracy	46%	59%

In the category of takedowns, Movsar Evloev is the better grappler as he takes his opponents down 4.83 times per 3 rounds. Evloev is getting his opponent to the mat on 50% of the times he tries and is stuffing 71% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Mitchell is taking his opponents to the mat on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 33% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Evloev is less apt at going for the finish by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Mitchell goes for 1.7 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last fight, Movsar Evloev went up against Dan Ige and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ige landed 47 of 114 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Evloev ended the night having landed 144 of 213 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ige ended up landing 42 of 106, which gave him a percentage of 39%. He landed 25 of 85 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Evloev ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by landing 68 of 129. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 50 of 109 aimed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Ige and 75% of them landed by Evloev were done at a distance.

In the last bout for Bryce Mitchell, he faced off with Ilia Topuria and wound up walking away in defeat by way of an arm triangle in round 2. Topuria ended up connecting on 72% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Mitchell ended up landing 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Mitchell ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 36 of 82. He ended up connecting on 22 of 57 significant strikes directed at the head. Topuria ended up connecting on 40 of 77 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 34 of 63 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Topuria ended up connecting on 53 of 93 and Mitchell was 46 of 94 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Kron Gracie battles Charles Jourdain. Gracie has a record of 5-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 70". Jourdain stands 5'9" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 13-6-1. The 27-year-old reaches 69". When it comes to grappling, Kron Gracie is averaging a takedown 0.88 times per 3 rounds while Charles Jourdain takes his opponents down 0.12 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Gracie lands an average of 5.15 strikes/minute and is landing 41% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Charles Jourdain, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes he has attempted and is connecting on 5.84 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Matt Frevola is set to fight Drew Dober. Dober walks into the Octagon with a record of 26-11-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old will fight at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Frevola measures in at 5'9" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 10-3-1. The 32-year-old stretches 71". In terms of wrestling, Drew Dober is able to deflect 55% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 17% of his tries. Frevola is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of the attempts he tries and deflects 42% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Dober is taking 4.40 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 4.47 strikes per minute. Frevola, on the other side, is absorbing 3.49 strikes/min and is landing 3.46 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Movsar Evloev (-250)

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Movsar Evloev vs Bryce Mitchell Pick, 5/6/2023 Predictions UFC 288 Odds

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