Montana De La Rosa vs JJ Aldrich Pick, 10/7/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 80 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/2/2023

Montana De La Rosa vs JJ Aldrich

UFC Vegas 80

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, October 7, 2023

Montana De La Rosa will battle JJ Aldrich at UFC Vegas 80 on Saturday, October 7, 2023. The opener has Rosa coming in at -118 while Aldrich is priced at -102.

Montana De La Rosa comes into this fight with a mark of 12-8-1. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". JJ Aldrich stands in at 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a record of 12-6-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 67". With respect to significant strikes, Montana De La Rosa is landing 2.47 per minute and JJ Aldrich connects on 4.02 significant strikes per minute. De La Rosa is landing 37% of the significant strikes she attempts and Aldrich connects on 46%. When it comes to defending in the cage, De La Rosa absorbs 3.06 significant strikes per min and Aldrich takes 4.54. De La Rosa also defends against 42% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Aldrich stops 60% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Montana De La Rosa ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 80	Montana De La Rosa	JJ Aldrich
Opening Odds	-118	-102
Record	12-8-1	12-6-0
Average Fight Time	11:38	13:30
Height	5'7"	5'5"
Weight	125 lbs	125 lbs
Reach	68"	67"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.47	4.02
Striking Accuracy	37%	46%

Concerning takedowns, Montana De La Rosa is the better grappler as she is able to score a takedown 1.94 times per 3 rds. De La Rosa is scoring a takedown on 31% of her tries and stuffing 64% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Aldrich is taking her opponents to the canvas on 25% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 65% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. In terms of subbing opponents, De La Rosa is the more capable fighter by attempting 0.9 finishes per 3 rounds while Aldrich tries 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In her previous fight, Montana De La Rosa faced Tatiana Suarez and took a loss on the night via a guillotine choke in round 2. Suarez ended up landing 37 of 43 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Rosa ended the night having landed 36 of 46 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Suarez ended up landing 10 of 13, which gave her a percentage of 76%. She ended up landing 0 of 1 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Rosa landed 45% of her significant strikes by landing 5 of 11. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she connected on 4 of 10 aimed at the head. 30% of the significant strikes connected on by Suarez and 20% of them landed by Rosa were done at a distance.

In the last fight for JJ Aldrich, she squared up with Liang Na and wound up taking home the victory by an elbow to the head in round 2. Na ended up landing 81% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Aldrich ended up connecting on 19% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Aldrich landed 72% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 47 of 65. She ended up landing 46 of 63 significant strikes to the head. Na landed 11 of 41 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 7 of 30 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes that she let go, Na was 27 of 61 while Aldrich ended up landing 68 of 89 of all the strikes she threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Grant Dawson meets Bobby Green. Dawson steps into the cage with a record of 20-1-1. The 29-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The switch fighter has a reach of 72". Green measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 30-14-1 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has an arm span of 71". In the wrestling category, Grant Dawson takes his opponents to the mat 3.70 times per 3 rounds while Bobby Green takes his opponents to the mat 1.21 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Dawson tags his opponents 2.99 strikes per minute and is connecting on 51% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Bobby Green, who connects on 52% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 6.14 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Abdul Razak Alhassan is set to square up in the Octagon against Joe Pyfer. Pyfer has a record of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Razak Alhassan stands in at 5'10" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-5-0. The 38-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding takedowns, Joe Pyfer is able to defend against 50% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 85% of the times he tries. Razak Alhassan is taking his opponents down on 38% of his tries and is able to thwart 52% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Pyfer takes 2.64 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 3.63 strikes per minute. Razak Alhassan, at the same time, is absorbing 4.02 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.54 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Montana De La Rosa (-118)

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Montana De La Rosa vs JJ Aldrich Pick, 10/7/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 80 Odds

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