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Mohammed Usman vs Jake Collier Pick, 9/23/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 79 Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/18/2023

Mohammed Usman vs Jake Collier

UFC Vegas 79

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, September 23, 2023

Mohammed Usman will enter the Octagon against Jake Collier at UFC Vegas 79 on Saturday, September 23, 2023. The moneyline has Usman at -155 while Collier is coming in at +130.

Mohammed "The Motor" Usman steps into the Octagon with a record of 10-2-0. The 34-year-old will fight at 239 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Jake "The Prototype" Collier stands 6'3" and is fighting at 230 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 13-9-0. The 34-year-old stretches 78". In terms of significant strikes, Mohammed Usman is connecting on 0.92 per min and Jake Collier is landing 5.81 significant strikes per minute. Usman connects on 27% of the significant strikes he attempts and Collier connects on 43%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Motor" allows 2.62 significant strikes per min and "The Prototype" takes 5.01. Usman also deflects 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Collier thwarts 50% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Jake Collier ufc predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 79 Mohammed Usman Jake Collier
Opening Odds -155 +130
Record 10-2-0 13-9-0
Average Fight Time 10:18 10:16
Height 6'2" 6'3"
Weight 239 lbs 230 lbs
Reach 79" 78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 0.92 5.81
Striking Accuracy 27% 43%

 

Regarding takedowns, Mohammed Usman is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he is averaging a takedown 1.46 times per 15 minutes. Usman is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of his tries and is stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Collier is taking his opponents down on 33% of his takedown attempts and stopping 67% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Usman is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds while Collier looks to get 0.5 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Mohammed Usman faced Junior Tafa and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Tafa landed 37 of 78 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Usman ended the night having landed 79 of 133 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Tafa ended up landing 22 of 61, which gave him a rate of 36%. He finished the fight landing 17 of 55 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Usman ended up landing 24% of his significant strikes by landing 7 of 29. Of those significant strikes, he landed 6 of 28 aimed at the head. 54% of the significant strikes landed by Tafa and 28% of them landed by Usman were done at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Jake Collier, he squared up with Martin Buday and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Buday connected on 73% of his significant strikes at distance and Collier ended up connecting on 81% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Collier ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 94 of 207. He ended up landing 63 of 175 significant strikes directed at the head. Buday ended up connecting on 98 of 177 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 66 of 142 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Buday ended up landing 145 of 229 and Collier was 107 of 226 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Marina Rodriguez faces off against Michelle Waterson-Gomez. Rodriguez walks into the cage holding a record of 16-3-2. The 36-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Waterson-Gomez measures 5'3" and weighs 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 18-11-0. The 37-year-old extends her reach 62". Regarding grappling, Marina Rodriguez takes her opponents to the mat 0.17 times per 15 minutes and Michelle Waterson-Gomez is able to score a takedown 1.40 times per 15 min. In terms of striking, Rodriguez connects on 4.58 strikes per min and connects on 47% of her attempted strikes. Joining her in the Octagon is Michelle Waterson-Gomez, who is landing 46% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 3.63 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Hannah Goldy is set to square up in the Octagon against Mizuki Inoue. Inoue walks into the Octagon holding a record of 14-6-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 115 lbs and stands 5'3". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 65". Goldy comes in at 5'4" and steps on the scale at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 6-3-0. The 31-year-old reaches 61". Regarding wrestling, Mizuki Inoue thwarts 66% of the takedowns her opponents try and is getting her opponent to the mat on 15% of her tries. Goldy is finishing her takedown tries on 18% of the tries she takes and is able to deflect 55% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Inoue absorbs 6.87 strikes/minute and she is landing 5.00 per min. Goldy, at the same time, is taking 4.95 strikes per min and is dishing out 5.78 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Jake Collier (+130)

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