Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila Pick, 12/2/2023 Predictions UFC Austin Odds

Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila

UFC Austin

Moody Center in Austin, TX

Saturday, December 2, 2023

Miesha Tate will face off with Julia Avila at UFC Austin on Saturday, December 2, 2023. The opening odds have Tate coming in at +130 while Avila is at -155.

Miesha "Cupcake" Tate steps into the Octagon holding a record of 19-9-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Julia "Raging Panda" Avila measures in at 5'7" and is fighting at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 9-2-0. The 35-year-old extends her reach 68". In terms of significant strikes, Miesha Tate is landing 2.61 per min while Julia Avila lands 3.18 significant strikes per min. Tate connects on 44% of the significant strikes she attempts and Avila lands 44%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Cupcake" absorbs 3.10 significant strikes per min while "Raging Panda" takes 2.86. Tate also deflects 51% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Avila thwarts 55% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In terms of grappling, Miesha Tate is the more apt grappler as she is able to score a takedown 1.88 times per 3 rds. Tate is scoring a takedown on 29% of the times she tries and is stopping 55% of the takedowns her opponents try. Avila is getting her opponent to the mat on 33% of the takedowns she tries and defending 61% of the attempts against her. Regarding submission attempts, Tate is the more skilled technician by trying 1.3 subs per 3 rds while Avila attempts 0.3 subs per 3 rds.

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The last time she fought, Miesha Tate went up against Lauren Murphy and was on the losing end of this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Murphy ended up landing 128 of 211 total strikes that she let go. Tate ended the night having landed 121 of 201 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Murphy ended up landing 102 of 184, which means her percentage was 55%. She ended up landing 77 of 154 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Tate ended up landing 51% of her significant strikes by connecting on 85 of 164. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 61 of 122 to the head. 66% of the significant strikes landed by Murphy and 78% of them landed by Tate were tallied at distance.

In the last bout for Julia Avila, she went up against Julija Stoliarenko and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of rear naked choke in round 3. Stoliarenko ended up connecting on 92% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Avila connected on 87% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Avila connected on 52% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 48 of 91. She ended up landing 31 of 72 significant strikes directed at the head. Stoliarenko ended up landing 40 of 94 significant strikes in that fight. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 27 of 73 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Stoliarenko was 60 of 115 while Avila ended up connecting on 107 of 163 of all the strikes she threw.

Other bouts to watch out for

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Veronica Hardy faces off with Jamey-Lyn Horth. Hardy looks to add a victory to her career total of 7-4-1. The 28-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 64". Horth comes in at 5'7" and weighs in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her record of 6-0-0. The 33-year-old extends her reach 66". In terms of takedowns, Veronica Hardy takes her opponents to the mat 1.34 times per 3 rds and Jamey-Lyn Horth takes her opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Hardy connects for an average of 3.35 strikes per min and is connecting on 46% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Jamey-Lyn Horth, who connects on 73% of the strikes she attempts and is landing 5.07 per minute.

Another bout to watch is when Arman Tsarukyan is set to square up in the Octagon against Beneil Dariush. Dariush looks to add a win to his total of 22-5-1. The 34-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter reaches 72". Tsarukyan stands in at 5'7" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 20-3-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 72". Concerning wrestling, Beneil Dariush is able to stop 80% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his tries. Tsarukyan is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of his tries and stops 75% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Dariush is absorbing 2.63 strikes/minute and he is dealing 3.79 strikes per min. Tsarukyan, on the other hand, is absorbing 1.91 strikes/min and is dishing out 3.82 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miesha Tate (+130)

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