Mick Parkin vs Caio Machado Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/15/2023

Mick Parkin vs Caio Machado

UFC Vegas 82

UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, November 18, 2023

Mick Parkin will face off against Caio Machado at UFC Vegas 82 on Saturday, November 18, 2023. The opener has Parkin at -340 while Machado is priced at +270.

Mick Parkin looks to add a victory to his total of 7-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 265 lbs and stands 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Caio "Bigfoot" Machado measures in at 6'4" and will fight at 250 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-1-1. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 78". Regarding significant strikes, Mick Parkin lands 6.02 per minute while Caio Machado is landing 8.07 significant strikes per minute. Parkin connects on 60% of the significant strikes he attempts and Machado connects on 69%. In terms of defending themselves, Parkin takes 3.07 significant strikes per min and "Bigfoot" allows 1.13. Parkin also deflects 67% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Machado is able to curb 71% of them.

ufc picks Mick Parkin ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 82	Mick Parkin	Caio Machado
Opening Odds	-340	+270
Record	7-0-0	8-1-1
Average Fight Time	8:29	15:00
Height	6'4"	6'4"
Weight	265 lbs	250 lbs
Reach	79"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.02	8.07
Striking Accuracy	60%	69%

When it comes to wrestling, Mick Parkin is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents to the mat 1.77 times per 3 rds. Parkin is scoring a takedown on 85% of his tries and thwarting 33% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Machado is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Parkin is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.9 finishes per 15 min while Machado goes for 0.6 finishes per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Mick Parkin faced Jamal Pogues and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Pogues ended up landing 37 of 136 total strikes that he let go. Parkin ended the night having landed 98 of 159 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Pogues ended up landing 36 of 135, which means his percentage was 26%. He finished the fight landing 22 of 119 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Parkin ended up landing 60% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 95 of 156. Of all the significant strikes, he was 37 of 94 aimed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Pogues and 96% of them landed by Parkin were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Caio Machado, he squared up with Kevin Szaflarski and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Szaflarski connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Machado ended up connecting on 76% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Machado ended up landing 69% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 121 of 173. He connected on 39 of 80 significant strikes to the head. Szaflarski landed 17 of 60 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 16 of 58 aimed at the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Szaflarski ended up connecting on 18 of 62 while Machado landed 156 of 211 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Jeka Saragih fights Lucas Alexander. Saragih looks to add a victory to his career total of 13-3-0. The 28-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Alexander comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old extends his reach 73". In terms of takedowns, Jeka Saragih is averaging a takedown 1.89 times per 15 min and Lucas Alexander gets a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Saragih tags his opponents 2.77 strikes per min and is connecting on 51% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Lucas Alexander, who connects on 53% of the strikes that he throws and lands 5.05 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Nikolas Motta is set to take on Trey Ogden. Ogden walks into the cage with a record of 16-6-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Motta measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 13-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". Concerning wrestling, Trey Ogden is able to stop 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 14% of the times he tries. Motta is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his tries and is able to thwart 85% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Ogden is taking 4.89 strikes/min and he connects on 3.42 strikes per min. Motta, in contrast, is absorbing 4.71 strikes/minute and is dishing out 3.40 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mick Parkin (-340)

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Mick Parkin vs Caio Machado Pick, 11/18/2023 Predictions UFC Vegas 82 Odds

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