Matthew Semelsberger vs Uros Medic Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/24/2023

Matthew Semelsberger vs Uros Medic

UFC 291

Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, UT

Saturday, July 29, 2023

Matthew Semelsberger will face off with Uros Medic at UFC 291 on Saturday, July 29, 2023. The moneyline has Semelsberger coming in at -190 while Medic is at +160.

Matthew "Semi The Jedi" Semelsberger walks into the cage with a mark of 11-5-0. The 30-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The switch fighter stretches 75". Uros "The Doctor" Medic stands 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 71". When talking about significant strikes, Matthew Semelsberger is landing 4.05 per minute while Uros Medic is connecting on 8.14 significant strikes per min. Semelsberger lands 43% of the significant strikes he attempts while Medic lands 66%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Semi The Jedi" allows 4.21 significant strikes per min while "The Doctor" allows 3.76. Semelsberger also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Medic defends against 59% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Matthew Semelsberger ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC 291	Matthew Semelsberger	Uros Medic
Opening Odds	-190	+160
Record	11-5-0	8-1-0
Average Fight Time	11:19	4:00
Height	6'1"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	75"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.05	8.14
Striking Accuracy	43%	66%

Concerning wrestling, Matthew Semelsberger is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents down 1.16 times per 15 min. Semelsberger is scoring a takedown on 70% of the times he tries and stopping 52% of all takedowns attempted on him. Medic is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Semelsberger is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.2 finishes per 15 min while Medic attempts 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his previous bout, Matthew Semelsberger went up against Jake Matthews and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Matthews ended up landing 74 of 140 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Semelsberger walked away from this fight having landed 54 of 129 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Matthews ended up landing 32 of 89, giving him a percentage of 35%. He landed 23 of 77 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Semelsberger ended up landing 38% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 45 of 116. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 34 of 89 pointed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes connected on by Matthews and 57% of them connected on by Semelsberger were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Uros Medic, he went up against Omar Morales and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Morales landed 96% of his significant strikes at distance while Medic landed 95% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Medic ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 47 of 86. He landed 21 of 57 significant strikes directed at the head. Morales landed 33 of 85 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 18 of 64 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes that he let go in that contest, Morales was 33 of 85 and Medic ended up connecting on 47 of 86 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Miranda Maverick opposes Priscila Cachoeira. Maverick will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 13-5-0. The 26-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'3". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Cachoeira measures 5'7" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 12-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 65". In terms of takedowns, Miranda Maverick gets a takedown 2.24 times per 15 minutes and Priscila Cachoeira is able to score a takedown 0.21 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Maverick is connecting on 3.82 strikes per min and lands 45% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Priscila Cachoeira, who connects on 43% of the strikes she has thrown and is landing 4.68 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Justin Gaethje is set to square up against Dustin Poirier. Poirier steps into the cage with a record of 29-7-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 72". Gaethje comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 24-4-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 70". Regarding wrestling, Dustin Poirier stops 63% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 36% of his tries. Gaethje is finishing his takedown tries on 25% of the tries he takes and curbs 75% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Poirier is taking 4.25 strikes/minute and he dishes out 5.51 strikes per minute. Gaethje, in contrast, is taking 7.66 strikes/min and deals 7.38 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Matthew Semelsberger (-190)

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Matthew Semelsberger vs Uros Medic Pick, 7/29/2023 Predictions UFC 291 Odds

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